CONFIDENTIAL

existing quotas, at the expense possibly of Hong Kong and

certainly of India, who have large bilateral quotas.

It could be presented as a loosening-up of the precent

quota system. It would involve an increase of about 20%

in the present level of imports because the Indian quota

has been underused. Lancashire would object strongly

to this and to the risk of a concentration of imports on

narrow market sectors. It would be difficult to administer.

10 The fourth option is to maintain the existing quota

system with the minimum of change. This would favour

traditional suppliers, notably Hong Kong and India, and the

former at least would probably agree (under protest) to

carry on with their present export control arrangements,

which would considerably ease our administrative burden

by comparison with Option 3.

Lancashire would get what

they want on cotton textiles, but it would mean trying to

put back in a straight-jacket trade for which many contracts

have already been placed in anticipation of ending quotas.

11 Under Options 3 and 4 it would be possible not to

maintain any restraint in yarn. The BBC have no Community-

wide yarn quotas and in this capital-intensive sector

Dancashire should in theory be able to compete. But

omission of yarn would infuriate the Lancashizo lobby

where the small spinners are in the van.

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