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CONFIDENTIAL

entry, i.e., 1 January 1973, in the Community's arrangements

under Article 4 of the Long Term Arrangement for trade in

cotton textiles (paragraph 9 of AE(71)35). If we do accept

this, we shall ipso facto be accepting a return to quantitative

restrictions. As paragraph 10 of the paper explains, this,

unless moderated by the introduction of duty-free quotas on

textiles in general as in the EEC's current GPS scheme, will

render us open to the virtual certainty of criticism from

Commonwealth countries, which, other things being equal, we

should do our best to avoid.

6. Other things however are not equal. As paragraph 11 of

the paper explains, if we attempted to secure a derogation from

the application of Article 4 of the Long Term Arrangement,

we should be extremely unlikely to get it. The chances are

strongly that we would have in the end to give in after a public

row, which we would be publicly seen to lose. We should also

add to the dangerously long list of issues which anyhow remain

to be settled in the remaining weeks of the negotiations.

7. The disadvantages in paragraph 6, which would be both

immediate and dangerously prejudicial to our negotiating aims,

outweigh those in paragraph 5, on which in any case we have

time to consider palliative action (see below). We should

therefore not seek a derogation from the Community, and accept

as a consequence the re-introduction of quantitative restrictions.

on cotton textiles from our date of entry. We should not however

parade this acceptance. As recommended in paragraph 14(c) of

the paper, we need not specifically announce it. If the

Community a sk us our intention we should press them not to

CONFIDENTIAL

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