£

CONFDENTIAL

as our economic interests are concerned, would lose us investments of some

£80m (direct and portfolio), interest from profits and dividends of the order

of £10m a year, and a valuable communications centre in the Far East.

9. What this adds up to is that while the treatment of Hong Kong does not

seem likely, to qualify as a breaking point in the negotiations there are cogent

reasons for doing what is reasonably possible to ensure that the interests of

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Hong Kong are damaged as little as possible.

PROBLEMS ARISING FROM OUR ENTRY

10. The general problem is thus (paragraphs 5 and 6 above) restrictions on

¡access. In practice this means either tariffs or quantitative restrictions.

TARIFFS

11 In' the 1961-63 negotiations the Six rejected the original British

'proposal' that Hong Kong should be associated with the enlarged Community under

Part IV of the Treaty of Rome (and thus given duty free access to the enlarged

Community)'.' They were willing to concede association for our other dependent

territories (apart from Gibraltar) (as they granted their own dependent

territories in 1957) but did not consider that association was appropriate for

"a dependent territory with well developed manufacturing industries.

$12.

There is no evidence that the Six have changed or are likely to change

..their view on this. In its revised opinion of October 1969 the Commission

merely observed that imports from Hong Kong posed a special problemt. The

Commission take the view that a detailed study is needed to find a solution

for Hong Kong taking into account its econòmic structure in order to avoid

compromising the unity of the market of the enlarged Community. It seems

virtually certain that no form of association will be forthcoming and that

(subject to what`is said below on the, UNCTAD scheme) we shall be obliged to

J

apply the CET in full at the end of the transitional period. This would

L

mean Hong Kong not only losing its duty free entry into the United Kingdom

and her preference in our market against all non-Commonwealth competitors

but also facing reverse preferences in favour of full members of the Community

4

CONFIDENTIAL

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