NOTHING TO BE WRITTEN IN THIS MARGIN

W(B)L 51-7406

Secret

Flag G

year period (i.e. a little under 9 per cent

per annum).

10. The Ministry of Defence maintain that

these figures do not bear out the Governor's

claim that a price inflation of roughly 10 per

cent per annum would be provided for.

11. Comment on Ministry of Defence's Argument

There is some substance in the Ministry of

Defence's argument as will be seen from the

figures in paragraph 8 above.

those figures However, they

do allow for an overall increase of nearly ₤

over the five year period and this does not

seem unreasonable.

12.

The following arguments might also be

deployed in support of theGovernor's revised

offer:

(i)

(11)

Under the existing agreement, Hong Kong

contributes £5 m. per annum towards

total annual budgetary Garrison costs

estimated in 1966 at £16 m, i.e. 31 per

cent of the total budgetary cost. The

figure of £7 m. per annum represents

35 per cent of the total estimated post-

1971 annual budgetary cost of £22 m.

The Governor's offer of £71⁄2 m. would

meet the whole of the estimated recur-

rent local costs of that proportion of

the Garrison required for internal security purposes; and in addition it

would

/provide £870,000 per annum towards the

capital costs. Under the current agree

ment Hong Kong provides £5 m. per annum

to cover recurrent local costs estimated

in 1966 at £4.5 m., beaving £1⁄2 m. as an

annual contribution towards capital

costs.

Secret

/(iii)

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