41.

and supersonics.

the cost itself.

the field of the

CONFIDENTIAL

This was refused because of the colony's

own interest in the development and its being able to bear

If AG wished to gratify Hong Kong outside

E20 negotiations, there might be a wish to

re-examine this, though there are no existing funds

available for a UK contribution.

Another suggestion is that funds for investment in order

to diversify Hong Kong's industry might be found either

from a sterling balance or from provision of aid from

United Kingdom. So far Hong Kong has not found difficulty

in raising capital for investment, and has not been short

of foreign exchange. Diversification has not been limited

by lack of capital, but by her lack of natural resources and

her social structure. But if she invests in new industries,

she will still require an outlet for their products. The

prerequisite for continued investment in Hong Kong's

industry is primarily confidence in the stability of the

colony (and it is already entering the shadow of the expiry

of the new territories in 1997) and consequently confidence

that the products of the industries can be exported. It

seems most unlikely that the provision of aid will be

required, or would lead to a solution of any of Hong Kong's

likely difficulties in the next decade.

42.

VII

CONCLUSIONS

Hong Kong's rapid development in recent years, which has more

than kept pace with her fast increasing population, has been

led by exports of manufactures, especially textiles. She is,

however, now beginning to lose her competitive advantage

because of increasing wages, the second highest in Asia.

/43.

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