CONFIDENTIAL

If as already

Hong Kong economy suffers as a result of or about the

time of our joining the enlarged Community.

mentioned, the economy of Hong Kong were so affected through

loss of markets overseas that a serious unemployment problem

developed, a difficult internal security situation could

arise.

12.

III Threats to Hong Kong's Trade

There are ↳ inter-related threats which will tend to limit

Hong Kong's growing trade, 2 concerning tariffs and 2

concerning quotas, as follows:

3..

On entry to the EEC, the United Kingdom will

impose the Common External Tariff against

Hong Kong.

b.

Hong Kong is likely to be excluded from the

2.

Се

d.

ELC and United States proposals under the UNCTAD

Generalised Preferences Scheme, and her main

competitors are likely to be given tariff

preferences against her.

The evolution of the Common Commercial Policy

may result in the extension of quotas against

Hong Kong's trade, not only by the Six but by

the United Kingdom and other candidates for

membership or association, when they have

joined the EEC.

The world-wide threat to liberal trading arising

from the current American moves on non-cotton

textiles.

The Common External Tariff

13. Unlike all other British dependencies, for which we expect

association, and all the dependent territories of the Six

/in

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