Registry No.

SECURITY CLASSIFICATION

Top Secret,

Secret.

Confidential.

Restricted. Unclassified.

PRIVACY MARKING

.In Confidence

DRAFT

:

TOP SECRET

the extent of the

Colony.

Copy No. 4

Type 1 +

From

y Scopies.

To:-

Annexes

the legal situation

the system of Government

the situation today.

Telephone No. & Ext.

not you drafted

Department

THE FUTURE OF HONG KONG

In the annexes to this paper I set out details of the physical characteristics of the Crown Colony of Hong Kong, of the legal position in respect of our tenure of it and of the situation there today. In this paper I make no proposals which require immediate decisions, but I set out a number of considerations in

relation to the future of the colony which we must

inevitably bear in mind and attempt to set out the options with which any Government will be faced as time

goes on.

2.

The present Chinese Government, and probably any Chinese Government in the foreseeable future, see no

distinction between the status of the territories

by Britain by casion acquired under the Treaties of Nanking and Pęking and

(which are

helt interesse,

that of the New Territories/ All are part of China

and to be recovered at the appropriate time. It is

(for ud) therefore unrealistic/to think of them differently. Moreover for this reason independence is unthinkable

and so is any movement towards constitutional progress

decolmisation)

along conventional lines.

171in

3. Secondly, I cannot see Hong Kong as viable if the

New Territories are detached from it at the expiry of their lease in 1997. The frontier would lie on

Boundary Street a mile from Kowloon docks in the

middle of a built up area;

Kaitak airport would be

in China; so would most of the industrial area and

also the main reservoirs;

grown in British territory.

virtually no food would be

The population remaining

in our control would be of the order of 2 m. assuming that there was not a huge influx from the New Teri Goride.

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