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(c)

arrangements for staffing the government service as a

whole (including the balance between expatriate officers

and local officers) need reviewing. There is a serious

shortage of middle level staff, brought about by the rapid

expansion in almost all departments in recent years. We

must somehow overcome the problems involved in seconding to

Hong Kong officers from the FCO or the Home Civil Service

who have specialised knowledge. The ODM should be able to

help in this respect more than they do at present;

(d) finally, a gesture of confidence on the part of HMG is

urgently required the more spectacular the better. The

best thing would be a favourable response to the request of

the Government for a loan to finance the extension of

Kai Tak Airport, but it has not so far been possible to

obtain agreement to this.

Hong Kong Department

21 September, 1970

Distribution

Sir L. Monaon

Sir S. Tomlinson

Mr. Wilford

Mr. Morgan, FED.

Mr. Gaminara Mr. Kinnear

(E. 0. Laird)

CONFIDENTIAL

G. F. Kinnear, Esq.,

Hong Kong Dept.

DROI

In Beln.

We hav

bellen hen a file

d

Или

popus.

рор

With the compliments of

ECONOMISTS DEPARTMENT

7/10

You asked for the return of

these papers. Mr. Wright has not yet had time to give them the attention they deserve, but he has taken a copy of them and will give you his comments

shortly.

P. Lond

(P.A. to Mr. Wright)

21:9:70.

Foreign and Commonwealth Office

London, S.W.1

Mr. Wright

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Reference...

4.

1

Hong Kong: some basic questions

Please see this exchange of minutes with Mr. Kinnear

of Hong Kong Department and the set of 27 highly loaded questions compiled by the Political Adviser in Hong Kong, Mr. Maddocks.

2.

#

From the files I find you have already expressed views

on several of these questions and have exchanged minutes with Mr. Holland. Some papers are flagged on files A252 and MM1/393/1 below. I have also flagged the budget speech of 25 February 1970 and a minute by Mr. Kinnear on the budget debate on file HKK5/19

below.

3.

For what they may be worth I give below a few scattered

comments :

Question 1: I attach a copy of Appendix II from the Estimates of Revenue and Expenditure for 1970/71. This gives a summary of Hong Kong's revenue and expenditure, divided into recurrent and capital, over 22 years. A remarkable feature is the preva- lence of budget surpluses, with deficits appearing in only 2 years. The revised estimates for 1969/70 show yet another surplus, and

a record one too. The trend over the past three years is more

than buoyant :-

(HK.

A. Total

revenue

(% increase

over year

B. Budget

surplus

million)

B. as %

of A.

previous)

1967/8

1899.5

(4.5)

+ 133.5

7.0

1968/9

2081.1

(9.6)

+ 208.1

10.0

1969/70(RE) 2436.7

(17.1)

+ 348.2

14.3

What is still more remarkable is the nature of these budget sur-

pluses. They are not conventional surpluses on current accounts

but over-all surpluses after debiting all capital expenditure. I have calculated' below the surpluses on current account :-

(HK.8 million)

1969/70 (RE)

Current Account

1967/8

1968/9

A. Revenue

1794.8

1998.7

2285.8

B Expenditure

1305.1

1496.0

1687.1

C. Surplus

489.7

502.7

598.7

C as % of A

27.3

25.2

26.2

/^rc^/These:

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