CONFIDENTIAL

5.

ng Kong had moved earlier to bring banking activities under the

sort of control (e.g. as to liquidity ratios or restriction of bank

investment in property speculation) which is normal nowadays. And

Hong Kong is extreLely vulnerable to outside influences on the

whether from political scares or from a closing up of

markets. There is always the threat that the bubble may burst.

Against this, opinion in Hong Kong can and does argue that

their policies have worked, and have enabled them to absorb more than

a million immigrants since the war; that their standard of living

is second only to Japan in Asia: that if the capital which has

built up employment opportunities were driven away, the taxable

capacity which has enabled them to be housed and looked after would

wither. And it certainly will argue that since Her Majesty's

Government is unwilling to help solve the development problem

(and we would obviously find it difficult to divert any part of our

scarce Aid Programme resources to Hong Kong) they had better leave

Hong Kong to solve it in its own way. This is a traditional

attitude in Hong Kong, and it has been heightened by our requirement

of a substantially increased defence contribution.

6.

Hong Kong tends to argue that she is now entering a period of

deficit financing; her greatly increased housing programme, education

and likely future commitments in the field of water supplies and of

mass public transport (e.g. underground railway) being the main

factors which will contribute to this.

However, the Government's

general reserves (of the order of £80m.) are capable of taking the

strain of a series of small deficits.

Money

7. Hong Kong has no central bank, and currency is issued by

designated commercial banks against the cover of assets held in the

Exchange Fund, The monetary system has withstood without great

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CONFIDENTIAL

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