CONFIDENTIAL

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6. OUR CONCERN IS THAT IF TAIWAN IS CUT BACK SHARPLY BY DEDUCTION

OF 1968 OVERSHIPMENT FROM PERMITTED LEVEL FOR 1969, CONTINUING DENANO

IS LIKELY TO DIVERT ORDERS HERE, THIS WOULD BRING US UP TO OUR

(REDUCED) TRIGGER POINT EARLY IN THE YEAR AND A CATEGORY LEVEĽ

ANYWHERE NEAR TRIGGER POINT WOULD CAUSE A LONG HIATUS IN SHIPMENT

CUNTIL 1ST OCTOBER 1969) WITH CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGE, TO THIS.

SMALL, SPECIALIZED SECTOR OF OUR INDUSTRY CU.S. TOOK 25 PERCENT

OF OUR WOVEN AND SEVEN PERCENT OF OUR KNIT COTTON GLOVES IN 1967)

7. QUID PRO QUO ARGUMENT ALSO IS UNCONVINCING. HAD EXPORT LEVELS

IN OTHER TRIGGER POINT CATEGORIES WORRIED AMERICANS, THEY

WOULD UNDOUBTEDLY HAVE CALLED US.

8. WE CAN SEE A CASE FOR DEDUCTING OUR 1967/68 'OVERSHIPMENT '

CL.E. BEYOND A NOTIONAL CATEGORY LIMIT FOR THAT YEAR) FROM

A CATEGORY LIMIT WHICH MAY IN DUE COURSE BE NEGOTIATED FOR

1056/60, IF THE TRIGGER POINT IS REACHED. BUT WE SEE NO REASON TO

DEDUCT IT FROM THE TRIGGER POINT ITSELF,

FO PLEASE PASS IMMEDIATE WASHINGTON,

SIR D. TRENCH.

[REPEATED AS REQUESTED]

INTERNATIONAL TRADE DISITRIBUTION

TRADE POLICY DEPT..

HONG KONG DEPT.

N.A. & C.D.

CONFIDENTIAL

ADVANCE COPIES SENT

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