STORET

clearly defined as "Chinese aggression",

Withdrawal

(n) Hong Kong'a future must overbally lie in China. This

io likely to become an issue in the 1980s (when confidence and the

economy must inevitably start to run dom) or earlier if, in the

meantime, Chinese pressures carry the indication that Chinabas a

serious intention to make our position untenable. But in prosent

Andeed, we cannot contemplate action

cireumstances wo noed not

to this end.

(c) When we do decide to withdraw we will face najoz

problems (come inecluble) in the discharge of our responsibilities

towards the Chinese section of the community (perticularly those

who are British subjects on who may be vulnerable to retaliation

istion

because of their loyalty to the British connection) and in the

maintenance of internal security during the period of withdrawal,

(p) The nature of these problems pointa to the need for

sone understanding with the Chinese, We can in any case put out

of our sinde any thought of an independent status for Hong Kong,

under U.N. auspices or otherwise, We shall have to hand over

Govereignty to China.

This would

(q) A unilateral decision on our part to withdraw would

be a course of last resort in present circumstances.

invite severe horassment by the Chinese who would not aoquiesce in

our withdravl at our own speed and in our own way; and we could

not prevent their interference. ha some future date it might be

used to bring the Chinese to the conference table.

(r). At present the only solution acceptable to the Chinese

SECRET

/would

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