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Ciambal

goodwill, and this would almost certainly not be

forthcoming. If the situation had not quite reached that·

point but was imminent, it would be politically very

difficult to take a decision to withdraw.

86. In both cases we would seek to achieve some measure

of evacuation of those to whom we have a responsibility,

particularly of vulnerable elements of the population (as

already approved by Ministers).

outlined in

87. But whether we seek to surrender the Colony in the

face of military attack or seek to abdicate our position

by a unilateral decision to withdraw, the fact remains

The Chimen

that China may not accept or recognise our renunciation

of control.

They could pursue the tactic of neither

throwing us out nor allowing us to go; they could make no

attempt to take over the administration of the Colony.

Their object would be to retain a puppet British

administration under firm control.

(A elascio example of

this kind of tastie is, of course, the treatment of our OWA

and foreign business interests in Shanghai).

88.

C

We rehat we cannot say categorically whether in

Feel

reserve

Judgement

orically]

ali

these circumstances the Governor should be under instructions

to refuse all co-operation.

Much must depend on what prospects

there may be at the time for negotiating some accommodation

that would help to ameliorate the fate of those who were

locked in the Colony. For example there might be a case for

co-operating temporarily with the Chinese if we thought that

we held certain strong cards such as the continuance of

trading relations with the Western world (paragraph 77).

We could of course easily block thi move any time by

To set up a

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