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9. I still sec a certain amount of force in these

arguments, and I would welcome the premature release of

the newsworkerg

if the Governor, having taken full account

of local circums tancas, were to decide it on his own

initiative.

I now attach less weight than I did in May

I think that with

to the snags presented by

the passage of time the public would no longer be inclined

to differentiate him from the other ten, and that the Governor

could make a collective gesture in respect of all eleven

without calling in question the use of the review procedure

last May.

10.

However, the crux of the matter is that in our telegram

No. 444 we have left it to the Governor to decide whether

premature release is compatible with the security of Hong Kong

in the short and in the long term. I am sure that the

Governor

and his advisers

would not be convinced by the

arguments in par graph 8. They would maintain, as they have

done from the outset, that a policy of firmness is called for.

In his telegram To. 588, the Governor argues that "concessionary

actions" encouraje a belief in our susceptibility to pressure

rather than stim late any genuine reciprocity by the Chinese

and he would certainly regard the premature release of the

newsworkers as a "concessionary' action". I do not propose

to analyse his arguments in detail here, since I am doing so

in another submision of wider context.

But I am sure that if

we were to ask him specifically to consider premature release

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