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we have in the past expressed some reservations about the

December atatement both to Mr. Long of Reuters and to

Mrs. Grey, I think that we might explain to them that Ma's

recent visit has reinforced our confidence that Grey should

be out by October at the latest. I attach a draft telegram

on these lines.

ARGUMENT

·Sove #RA

3. From the delay on which Ma insisted between the summons

and his visit, I think that we can conclude that he was in

urgent touch with his Government for instructions. He was

reading from a prepared text; and I think we must conclude

that his words had been carefully chosen for him by his

masters.

Interpreted literally, they mean merely that

Mr. Grey will be allowed to move about Peking; but I consider

that if the Chinese do remove the restraints on Mr. Grey they

are most unlikely to withhold an exit visa. All in all, I

think that, though Ma's statement is perhaps less authoritative

than would have been a government statement published in

New China News Agency we are justified in treating it as a

firm assurance by the Chinese Government that Mr. Grey will

be allowed to leave China when the newsworkers are released.

4. The N.C.N.A. statement of last December was: "Since the

Hong Kong authorities contrive to keep thirteen now eleven_7

patriotic journalists in jail, the Chinese Government is fully

justified in continuing to restrict Grey's freedom of

movement." We noted at the time that it was carefully short

SECRET

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