simply about a loss of face but about the erosion of public

support for and confidence in the Hong Kong Government's

ability to withstand communist pressure. And our only

possible gain from these risks would be the curtailment of

Mr. Grey's ordeal by a matter of 3-4 months.

5歳 There is an important secondary argument against our

trying to insist on the release of the newsworkors against

the better judgement of the Governor. In the storm of

criticism likely to arise in Hong Kong, it would almost

certainly become public knowledge that the releases had been

against the advice of the Governor and others bearing

responsibility on the spot. It could have most unfortunate

effects in Hong Kong if the impression were thus to be created

of a serious divergence of view between the Hong Kong

authorities and ourselves on a matter pertaining to the

security of Hong Kong.

7. There is a further much less considerable argument

against premature releases. Relations of other British

subjects detained in China e.g. the Gordon Zamily, would

claim that we had in effect done a deal with the Chinese to

secure the release of Mr. Grey, and would press us to propose

further deals to the Chinese (involving other convicted

prisoners in Hong Kong) to secure the release of our other

nationals.

8. What bearing has the Brooke case on all this?

There

is no doubt that public knowledge of a bargain with the

Russians over Mr. Brooko will pose problems for us in the

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