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ANNEX A to DP 9/68(C) (Directors' Draft) (Continued)

Tai Mo Shan. A fighter presence is provided periodically by a

training detachment of Hunter aircraft from Singapore.

In an

emergency, reinforcements can be provided from the Far East Air

Force and from outside the theatre.

IMPLICATIONS OF WITHDRAWAL FROM

MALAYSIA AND SINGAPORE

Chinese Reaction

16.

The situation nearly four years hence will inevitably be

affected by any outcome of the Vietnamese war, However, the

external threat to Hong Kong is likely to remain unchanged so

long as United States forces remain in the Far East and the

uncertainty of American reaction to any Chinese aggression still

exists. China will be aware that reinforcements for the Hong Kong

Garrison will have to come from the European theatre after the

closure of our main base at Singapore, and consequently, may

exploit the psychological effect on the inhabitants of the colony

When of the comparative isolation of British Forces. Also, (so long as)

all Gurkha forces are concentrated in the colony, there is the

opportunity for China to bring pressure to bear on Nepal, which

might reduce the usefulness of the Gurkhas.

Hong Kong Reaction

17. The completion of withdrawal of forces from Malaysia and

Singapore will be apparent to the population of Hong Kong.

Their morale will be particularly sensitive to the knowledge

that there will be no reserves of British forces available in

the theatre and that reinforcements will then have to come from

Europe. In these circumstances much will depend on buoying

up the expectations of both Europeans and Asians and avoiding a

crisis of confidence. Any reduction in the strength of our

forces in Hong Kong at that stage could well affect the confidence

of police and public by casting doubt on HM Government's

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