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1.

AL THERE ANY MEARS OF FRUSTRATING CHINA'S INTENTIONS?

A United Nations Solution

In a separate status could be found for Hong Kong, independent

of britain or China, we would have done what we could to protect the non-Communist population of Hong Kong from forcible "liberation".

..t the same time the difficulties over constitutional advance would

be removed.

2.

It is perhaps not altogether beyond the bounds of possibility

that some status may eventually be found for Formosa involving a neutralised self-governing island, conceivably under United Nations

guarantee. In this should ever come about, it might be to our advantage to seek a similar solution for long long. But there is no real prospect that the problem of Formosa could be solved in this way. 3. Another possibility, in the event of a serious move by China against Hong Kong, would be to remit the question to the United lations and work for a Danzig-type settlement in which the territory

would be placed under United Nations adinistration.

The

4. It is most unlikely, however, that China would agree to either of those solutions. Successive Chinese Governments have regarded

Hong Kong as Chinese territory to be recovered in due course. present Chinese Government is almost certain to deny that the

it has on a United Nations has any standing in the question:

number of occasions in a United Nations context made it clear, through Communist Member States of the United Nations, that the future of Hong Kong is not a matter for the United Nations but rests between China and Britain. Any change in this attitude is

inconceivable in the Toreseeable future.

5. We consider below whether there are any means of bringing pressure to bour on China to accept a United Nations solution.

6. Economic Sanctions

An economic embargo on trade with China

of the ind

operated during the orean war could, while China remains at

logerheads with Aussia and other countries of the Suviju bjoe, De

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