8

from protozt for bringing pollos or troops in to doal

with a difficult or deteriorating situation. They

o uno hoir position to limit our withdrawal or

pormone and onsets, to the extent that they considered

LABONGRAY to retain hostsgon" in order to acuo

CHO MARIMURAdvantez mnt of us, both totoro and

after our departure. This is a course it would seem

prudent to follow only in oxtaeniar to offer it

oarlor would cadoubtedly put 11rlotibio

in their way.

The prospooto tant China would rampond with

ronoonsable horneo of cooperation to a movO OUT

part for a negotiated withdrawal must dopand very

sch ONL

(a)

whether toultod their policy at tha

one

to take the colony over IP & 委

tholr "intorast woe in nothing it took. If

ohogo time that did not out either their

econorde or politionl objectives, we could expect

thor to mazlaino their donanda upon un and to

Book to ano that we Ioft in utter nontuson and

in the mont huntintine confit one.

drawal did anit their policy, their reaction might

a

very from að meompromising statement of their

termo ir they wanted to extract a propagande and

oroetico advantage to a noasonable negoti:.ting

powtuso if they were gonuinoly anxious, for

economio nonono, to take Hong Kong over with

ngs to tho ooonomy.

(h) The strength of our negotiating position. In

this respect we are likely to be in the best

position if we seek to withdraw voluntarily when

conditions are more or loss normal, in a loss

astiefactory position if we try whon conditions in

Hong Kong are difficult (e.g. because of economic

/decline

TEL

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