CONFIDENTIAL
that in the long term she is unlikely to
control any united India, will she work for
(or sit back and await) a disintegrated India,
in some of the successor states of which she
might reasonably hope for more effective
influence ? An Asian Albania in Keralà ? The
scope, in many directions, for Chinese
disruption of stable Indian development is
great
encouragement of trouble between
India and the external border states (such as
Nepal) and the internal border tribes (such
Me
as Nagas), encouragement of the pro-Peking
'A
Indian Communists, stocking-up the Indo/
Bakistan dispute;
in general, distracting
Indian energies and resources from the major
task of inteɓnal development.
43. For both India and Pakistan that
development is reaching a critical stage; both
are reasonably near to achieving agricultural
"break-through", making them self-sufficient
in food. The use of new food grains and
fertilizers has made this a possibility in
Pakistan in the next couple of years and in
India a few years later. The result of success
could
would be that more foreign exchange be
devoted to industrial development. The long
term market in both countries for consumer
goods is already well recognised in the Western
trading countries; how significant will this
market become in the '70s ?
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/44.
The
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