DS, 32855 Ed (4200)
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India and Pakistan
40.
The moves in Chinese relations with India
and Pakistan have been broadly straightforward;
when she was the frierd of India in the '50s,
Pakistan was her enemy, an active member of
SEATO. With the cooling of Sino/Indian
relations leading to the war of 1962, Pakistan
disillusimed
With SEATO as a source of help
against India) became China's friend.
Such
is the Sino/Indian/Pakistan triangle today.
41. What changes are we likely to see in the
'70s ? As long as India has the friendship
But
of both the Soviet Union and the United States
and (by not signing the Non-Proliferation
Treaty) the possibility of developing her own
nuclear weapons, she is unlikely to feel the
need for accommodation with Peking.
although after 1962 India can never trust
China again, she might be ready to reach a
settlement on the border questions if she
could be certain of those with whom she was
dealing in Peking.
42. How does China view India ? It is
debatable how far she set out in 1962 to "put
India in her place" but in Asian power terms
that is certainly what she achieved. Will
she continue, by noisy threats on the border,
to keep India looking north and could she
see advantage in repeating the lesson of
1962 ? How far will she work for a Peking-
orientated Communist India ? Or, recognising
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/that