DJ. 32855 Ed (4200)

Would such a

Confidential

Either practicable or

bein

Britain's best long-term interests to surrender

rela tions with China? Would it, indeed, be in

intolerable ?

step be politically Hong Kong before Chinese pressures become and physically Aacticable in view, of Britain's

for

who milling for the

British subjects in the Colony?

39. At the moment, Taiwan is clearly for the

mainland Chinese national territory to be

regained as soon as possible. The U.S. presence

and the considerable strength of the Chinese

Nationalist forces are a sufficient deterrent to

precipitate action. But to what extent could

the mainland Chinese profit from any instability

that followed the death of Chiang-kai-Shek (now

80)? Would his successor régime continue to

warrant the support of American public opinion?

Could a mellowing of the Peking attitude and

less resolute U.S. support for Taiwan make a

†¤¤xhi¤¤za 'two Chinas' possible ? If so, how

tributary would Taiwan have to be?

NOTHING TO BE WRITTEN IN THIS MARGIN

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