NOTHING TO BE WRITTEN IN THIS MARGIN

Dd. 32855 EJ (4200)

The Chinese Waur recently madect clear that fount

Bund

Hong Kang May important role in Sino

the sphere of

genwally.

Bylish relations

of

Crown Cocopy

some fout miction souls

Confidential

.370n the northern edge of South East Asia,

Hong Kong and Taiwan pose special problems in the

West's relations with China.

Z

The Chinese-sná

British interests in Hong Kong are roughly

Hong Kong is hast of China but it a

converses For

them

formet it

A

xa

forward base

also

from which to mount political activities in the

outside world and a valuable source of foreign

exchange; for the er it is a listening post

to Communist China and a centre of important

commercial activity. Other Western countries

also have a conseswaben

of whom opproximately here to a large degree Britain's interest in

half

at British

subjects for whose well being

H.M, & havf a special responsibibly, it

is also

Hong Kong, as is evidenced by their sizeable

diplomatic and commercial representation there.

ideally would 1238In the short term, the Chinese aim appears

like

to be to produce a Macao-type situation, in which

a they would control events in a nominally British

colony so that activities conducive to their

interests could still go on. In the longer term,

their aim is to remove the sole remaining colony

en

and the mainland of Asia, an inevitable irritant

to Chinese pride. Logically, they are likely to

do this only when they consider that their

strength or Western weakness reduce the risks to

an acceptable level. But logic may not prevail

and an earlier takeover bid (certainly before

New Tewituce's on the

the m

1997 when the mainland territories are due to

be returned to China) must be counted a distinct

possibility. In such circumstances, would most

Western European countries wish to regard it

as the ending of an anomalous situation that was

a hindrance to the development of the ir Jong-tera ***extxxxxxxx¤¤rierx*x*£xx£*ex beferex£âƒ£££

/relations

Share This Page