CONFIDENTIAL
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
(vii)
(viii)
(ix)
What are the possible trouble spots and how predictable is the trouble - Thailand, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Sino-Soviet border, Indonesia, Sino-Indian border, Indo-Pakistan borders?
What sort of China is likely to emerge from the Cultural Revolution? To what extent will it be possible or desirable for the West to communicate with her, on either a political or commercial place?
What real prospect is there of indigenous grouping (s) to counter Chinese pressures? What can come from a mixture of apprehension, appeasement
and affability?
In the light of pressures nearer home, what part are the Soviet Union and the United States likely to play in Asia in the '70s?
Will increasing Japanese influence in Asia continue to be beneficial from a Western point of view?
What is likely to be the influence and inter-action on each other of the other major Asian powers - India, Pakistan and Indonesia?
How are Western economic interests likely to fare?
What are the circumstances in which the West, or part of it, could find itself involved militarily in Asia?
How far is it in the power of Western countries to affect significantly what happens in Asia?
9
CONFIDENTIAL
September 1968.