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probably not affect the availability of forces to attack
Hong Kong.
20.
20.
Surprise Attack
(a)
(b)
In the event of a global war starting by a surprise
attack we estimate that the maximum forces the
Chinese Communist Air Force (CCAF) would use in
support of an attack on Hong Kong would be a total
of 260 aircraft, all of them jet. Of these 140
would be fighters, 60 light bombers and 60 ground
attack.
In addition to the CCAF threat, attacks might be
launched by a small Chinese Communist Naval Air
Force (CCNAF) including jet light bombers against
shipping and maritime forces defending Hong Kong..
Prepared Attack
(a)
Because of the increased readiness of the Allies
for war we do not believe that the Communist
will be able to provide any additional air forces
other than those shown in paragraph 22(a) above
in support of an attack on Hong Kong.
(b) However, if required a maximum of 50 transport
aircraft might be made available temporarily for
an airborne operation. This would theoretically
enable a force of 1,000 paratroops to be carried.
In view, however, of the difficult terrain, the
limited force available we think it most unlikely
that Chinese airborne forces would be used against
Hong Kong.
Summary of the threat to Hong Kong
21.
(a) Surprise sack. In the event of global war starting
by surprise we consider that the immediate threat would be one
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