CAB80-8 — Page 101

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Germany could then operate seven or eight air squadrons from bases in Bulgaria. It should be observed, however, that the Bulgarian bases are well within the reach of Allied bombers.

In view of the reprisals which might be exercised against her by Turkey, Yugo-Slavia, Greece and Roumania, it is likely that Bulgaria will not allow Germany to use bases

on her own soil until the German forces have either overwhelmed Roumania, or occupied part at least of the territory of Yugo-Slavia.

(e) Air bases in Roumania.

There are about 11 or more good bases but some are in Transylvania.

(f) Strength of German air force deployed.

This

If Germany can deploy 30 squadrons some at least will be Army co- operation and reconnaissance squad- rons to work with the Army which has been estimated at 24 divs. in Yugo- Slavia and 16 against Turkey. 6 to 8 squadrons might be fighters. leaves 10 to 12 squadrons some of which would be initially employed against the Yugo-Slavs, and finally all might not be concentrated on Salonika. The British estimate is therefore on the high side.

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(e) If Roumania had been over-run a much larger scale of German attack would be possible. This possibility is serious and cannot be disregarded.

(f) The extended front with bases at Istanbul and Salonika will tend to reduce the scale of attack on any one point, but worst case must be considered. not be necessary for Germany to provide the full scale of A. C. units at first, and in any case these can be operated from small aerodromes. It

It may

would be unwise to count on

less than 15 heavy squadrons and 12 might be available for several weeks exclusively for attack..ng Salonika.

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