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ANNEX

In Paper No. C.O.S.(40) 479 dated 20th June, 1940, the Chiefs of Staff estimated the probable scale of attack as follows:

"A German invasion may take place either:

(a) as a diversion; or

(b) to occupy Ireland and establish air and

submarine bases for attack on shipping in the western approaches and/or on our West Coast ports and industries.

Invasion may be either seaborne or airborne, both.

If the intention is to occupy Ireland to establish bases, likely objectives will be:-

Airborne landings at Dublin.

Seaborne attacks on one or more of Londonderry, Limerick, Cork,

or

A seaborne expedition would probably not consist of more than a division accompanied by A.A. guns and some coast defence guns,

Sufficient

personnel and equipment and shipping is probably

An available now in Spain for the purpose. expedition might also be sent from Scandinavia and with Western France in the enemy's hands, the despatch of an expedition from French ports

The is a likely contingency in the near future. enemy would be running very great risks in sending such an expedition, but he is prepared to take such risks, and with luck the expedition might get through unperceived, Ships might sail individually. Small forces might also be landed from submarines and fishing craft,

An airborne expedition would probably be limited to about 1,000 men, the scale being limited by the need to conserve resources for the main attack on Great Britain.

The enemy's plan would include raising the I.R.A. of which there are believed to be some 2,000 members, all well armed."

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جبیت

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