CAB23-58 — Page 7

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There were three possibilities. The first was

the lines of communication between a country and

its Oversea Possessions. A calculation on this

basis would place the principal Naval Powers in

the following order:- The British Empire, France,

the United States of America (with communications

about half the length of the British Empire),

Italy (whose comunications would be less than

half those of France), and Japan.

Germany, having

no Oversea Possessions, would be entitled to no

cruisers under this formula. Second, the meaning

might be the length of the lines of communication

of the whole of the oversea trade of the count ry.

That would place the British Empire, the United

States of America, France, Italy and Japan about

equal, with a slight preponderance to the British

Empire. A third possible interpretation of the

formula was that suggested by Lord Jellicoe at

the Three-Power Conference at Geneva, namely,

to take the total number of ships engaged in

oversea trade on a particular day and multiply it

by miles. This formula would put the British

Empire first, the United States of America second,

Japan third, France and Italy being about equal.

It seemed very probable that France intended

the first of these three methods as a besis of

calculation, since her object was to obtain a

greater cruiser tomage than Italy. On the other

hand, it was extremely unlikely that the Americans

or the Italians would look at such a formula.

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