CAB129-37 — Page 533

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The number of persons registered as unemployed in Great

read Britain fell from 376,000 at 10th January, 1949, to 243,000 on 11th July. There was a rise to 268,000 at 12th September due partly to the number of children who had left school in the summer and were still seeking employment. The number of males (including casuals) who had been wholly unemployed for more than eight weeks fell further to 90,100 at 12th September, and the number of females who had been out of work for the same period to 16,700. The count of persons registered as unemployed on 10th October gave a provisional figure of 300,000-a rise of 32,000 on the figure for September.

II.-Production

3. The index of total industrial production (1946-100) for July and August, taken together, declined seasonally to 118, but this was still 7 points higher than the average for July and August of last year. This rate of improve- ment over last year has been steadily maintained since February, and there is so far no suggestion of any falling-off in the rising trend of production.

4. Building work has been maintained at a higher level this summer although the labour force was slightly lower than in the summer of 1948. The index for building and contracting rose to 131 in each of the three months May, June and July compared with an average of 124 in the same three months of 1948.

Interim Index of Industrial Production

(Average 1946

100)

All industries

Manufacturing industries

Points

1947-48 1948-49

increase

1947-48

1948-49

Points increase

3rd Quarter

109

115

6

110

118

8

October and November

121

127

6

122

129

December and January

117

123

7

117

125

February

123

131

7

124

133

March and April

121

128

7

123

131

769∞

8

8

May and June

120

132

12

123

136

13

July and August

111

118

7

113

121

8

Coal

5. The seasonal rise in coal production, which usually takes place after the August holidays, has now begun and the output of deep-mined coal rose to 4.16 million tons in each of the last two weeks of October. The weekly rate of output in September was 3-2 per cent. greater than in September 1948. Total production of deep-mined coal in the 43 weeks ended 22nd October was 2.6 per cent. above output in the corresponding period of 1948 but 1.1 per cent. below the target for the period. To achieve the target of 204 million tons for 1949, output during the remaining 9 weeks of this year would have to increase to an average of 4.26 million tons a week or 8.5 per cent. more than the rate of output in the last 9 weeks of 1948.

Output of Deep-mined Coal

(Weekly averages)

1947-48

1948-49

Change

Thousand

Thousand

Per

tons

tons

cent.

November

4,000

4,094

December and January

+2.4

3,769

3,864

+2.5

February..

3,915

4,092

+4.5

March and April

3,775

3,927

+4·0

May and June

3,810

3,877

+1.8

July and August

3,299

3,366

+2.0

September

3,842

3,966

+3.2

October ...

4,002

4,116

+2.8

6. The number of workers on the colliery books has fallen sharply from 727,000 in March to 709,500 in the third week in October. This has been due to a reduction in the number of trainees entering the industry, a fall in the inflow from other industries and the maintenance at a high level of the outflow of workers from mining of other industries. The number of face workers or the colliery books has also been falling and in the third week of October was below the level in October 1948.

3

272

7. Absence from work rose to 13 66 per cent. in August, but declined to

13.66 12.37 •centage the first three weeks of October, compok 42 10 ver cent. in October 1948. The total number of shifts worked has been lower than last year and the increase in rate of production has been due to the higher output per manshift.

Iron and Steel

8. The output of steel ingots and castings rose after the holidays to 306,000 tons a week in September. Total production for the first nine months amounted to 11 59 million tons-4 per cent. more than in the same period of last year.

9. Stocks of pig iron rose further to 737,000 tons at the end of September from the low level of 434,000 tons in April and stocks of scrap rose to 805.000 tons. Stocks of imported iron ore have been increasing rapidly and at the end of Sep- tember were 23 per cent. greater than at September 1948.

Textiles

Textile production in August was affected by the holidays. The output of worsted yarn and of wool, cotton and rayon fabrics was again below the

targets.

C

11. The weight of cotton yarn spun recovered from a weekly average of 17.95 million lb. in August to 20 3 million lb. in the first three weeks of October, but this still fell short of the target of 21 9 million lb. a week for the month...........

12. Output of rayon yarn and staple fibre in August amounted to 21 7 million lb. This was 34 per cent. greater than in August 1948.

Motor Vehicles

13. Output of passenger cars attained a new record level of 8,722 a week during September. The number produced for the home market rose to 3,513, a week and the number produced for the export market (5,209 a week) though greater than in April, was less than in May and in March of this year.

T

14. The value of exports of passenger cars to Canada rose steadily from £306,000 in January to £1,056,000 in July, but fell back to £652,000 in August and £630,000 in September. Exports to the United States have been below £100,000 a month since April:

Exports of all Passenger Cars (including Chassis)

(Monthly averages or calendar months)

Total to all

£ thousand

To

countries

United States

To Canada

1948 1st Quarter

4,575

286

52

2nd Quarter

3rd Quarter

5,582

360

251

4,697

593

433

4th Quarter.

5,233

634

460

1949 1st Quarter

5,334

205

382

2nd Quarter

5,677

78.

629

July August

5,782

62

1,056

4,145

44

652

September...

...

6,876

64

630

15. Production of commercial vehicles also reached a new record level of 4,505 a week in September. Of these 2,213 were produced for export: this exceeds the previous record of 2,129 a week in March.

Merchant Shipbuilding

16. The tonnage of merchant vessels under construction, which reached a post-war peak of 2,073,000 tons in June 1948, declined to 1,874,000 tons in July 1949, but rose to 1,950,000 tons in September. New vessels laid down have risen from an average of 83,000 tons a month in the first quarter of 1949 to an average of 114,000 tons a month in each of the second and third quarters. New vessels laid down against export orders have risen more sharply from an average of

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