1950-01-31 — Page 1

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THE HONGKONG TELEGRAPH, TUESDAY, JANUARY 31, 1950.

WHO WILL WIN THE 195

ELECTION?

PAGE 4 ANALYSIS BY

HAROLD BRETT

THE AMBUSHI

Bullet against flaming arrow 41.

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THE SUPER

Will Truman make it America's reply to

Stalin's atom shock?

SINCE a senator let slip the news that Americu has the clues to an atomic bomb "a thou- sund times more powerful than anything yet" President Truman has been badgered for a decision on whether it will be made. Scientists in London helped to build up this picture of how the super bomb might work.

by CHAPMAN PINCHER

#h

THE puper atomic betnih posarul

bomba droppand which Presidend Tem over Japan wan berated f

has

decade alt 1.000.000 deg whether to develop or wazju pobalds beyond press would almoet reg lautus w hours dvarepreze CAS 1 main explosives

Ture vari

This a the hydrogen gas used fro Hiling wartime burrage bat leon. It can be made from Inp-water by an expensive

process.

US military

The design for the super Weapon therefore ennenges wo at bonthe wathin a bomb

There is believes to be s liar to the size of such a

beyond the weight weapon limit sel by the airerai! delivering H

wha mett

TAMPERS

DETONATING MECHANISM

BOMB

TIME FUSE

URANIUM

*IGNITER

HEAVY

HYDROGEN

CHARGE

THE PRINCIPLE OF THE H-OOMB

A time-Juse sets off the thier bomb by firing a uranium bullet down cquŋstute at a uranium fumurt This wndes the main charge

Begreper bags

LONDON.

ΤΟ wipe off a majority Tis anybody's guess 2.000 it needs only 1,000 per which party will win the to take their votes away fr one side and add them to t General Election. Pri- ether.

In a constituency vately, Socialist and Tory 50,000 that represents n kw) politicians will each tell you of two percent, in opinion. "I am confident we'll get in.”

The

would

Tories

RAY

they be satisfied with a

SAY 5%

DIVEN Mr Shinwell small majority-but they EY

woul berce that since 1943 th expect a big one.

swing has been more than tw The Socialists want a big percent. The Tories say it ha

men

| majority-but even on their been more than four percent.— own reckoning, they expect enough to shift the Socialists m

of 80 sents now hell with a very small one.

majorities of fewer than 4,000. Mr A. V. Alexander has

in bonsted that they will lose

fact the record of by only 20 seats, but the solid publie plaion polla sug- elections, municipal elections at Transport House pets that the swing-over has who have been studying the beer seven or eight percent. latest returns from the enn- Bul the Torica balt their vassera, KROW that the optimizn nt Ave percent.- staughter in their rattles will enough to change the M.Pa in bay worse than that,

the 118 sents where the Socialists have According to the Turles,

majority of fewer than it will be terrific. They ex- pret 1950 to bring I big. That would change the popular revulsion against. Government. On the Agures of Soriallem. The worst hands- uring the Socialist total of 389

The present Parliament it would

cap a Government can take down to 271. It would put the into an election they say is Tonics up from 194 to 312. a big majority after a long apell of power It is asking for unfond

DISASTER

Af coury, the Tories do not expect to hold every one of their own beads or to pick up all the sents the Socialists drop. But w111 They think their chances inspive with every work the

berdeny is delayed,

They tain?

final Beenuse three

deures. Privately, they my they times in the last 50 years. could make do with n majority fin 1906, 1929, and 1945 big 30-old over the Socialists-

majoritica have brought the disaster.

WHY are the Tories se cer-

At Transport House they laugh at such Tory omens. Look at the by-election re-

tq1xn _qvcrܐ: nr

which would be a minority if all the Liberals and Indepen= dents united against them.

FAINT HOPES

Jow

H ntout The Socialists?

For their ine of policy they want an absolute majority over all parties-60 nt the very least. in the new Parliament, with members, that

sults. Thirty-three Sucialist neats fought and not one fost in nearly five years. any Government such a prolonged vote of its 13 fewer confidence?

Has ever had

would

in 1990:-

mean a total of 342 Sociale only 50 fewer than There the Tories back

1939 It was in hydrogen for a few mufllouths of

laugh now. back. It is just those by- te securit This would be lingg That

Here is an entimate from one vear that the German

enanigh in Jaise at in explosani election figures that make of their ablest campaign_mane- Prentis! CHT: Habe dis

[them feel good. By-elections Rers of the best they hope for povered how to split a few

rarely happen in winnable aranium

{tue

The pared anastala weapons Government sents. They are

They will lose most of the laboratory.

testat be carried out soon. Euwetuk Atoll In the Pacifie

raused by M.P.s dying or scis now held with majorities below 2,000. Not all of them. TEGEN ie Juche Hidromi research, being made peers.

Some of theso M.P.6-who were taken on their party ticket im Those who die are mostly 1945-may now have advanced

The

But believe 11 IM more advanced

Cala

power of BIL

O

Is

CLUES: Small-scale

experi

that ther

14

overcome.

are urging the President La dinary atomic bomb stake millions of dollars on restricted by technical diffi- this H-bomb project base culties

sents proving which many selen- their case on two scientific

tists believe can never be hydroger: reaction certainting and one possibl-

But if sufficient lity

beat is available, it should be possible to "ignite" and therefore explode unlimited quantities of heavy hydro- Kun

P.M.

1

MR BUG GOES TO TOWN

Length Feature Chifmon

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HELMUT DANTINE

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Criginal they by Bourge Laderaum tri blkának Lemon Herrenpley by Rian Jonuts and Ground Lou

THE CERTAINTIES

two atom

WHEN heavy hydrogen collide

IM

is

nt such sped that they jam together, atomic energy releused just

is her Lara Alin split-

32

2 Pa centrated change of heavy hydrogen could be heated instantaneously to

free-tat Truman decides 143 Reall weapon high priority

out on the new-lold members who were given their personal stock more than

Government's will be the safest seats in 1945- the

has MOTO Riven to experiments aimed at and the biggest ready-made down. hey

nching a method of detonating majorities--us kind of possible, heavy hydrogen without the use

The of a uratus agter This would pension for life-service to lose a few more at where the

union or party.

buve 2:00 completed Ana-ricals are whown to hove started up large seade production. of heavy lovedregen

Methods of prepaone 17 1 beck for in suitable for UM AS A bomb-billing have ben devised

Scientists al 1 S prugerk horse in psded the power the Hirodom type Some If the principles on which

134387 than fitful hy the weapon would work ding its explosive con with nre already established, why the huge finne al outlay?

of heavy metal 11 is beenuse scientists still have to solve the problem of how to keep the explost-

a temperature of 1,500,000 ing bomb in one piece long Ideg. Contigrade

eous enough for the main charge atoms would automatically to heat up. fuse to produce a devastai ing explosion far greater

Hiro than happened at shima.

THE POSSIBILITY

THE CHARGE might be

if they cannot do this then the atoms of heavy hydrogen would be flung apart by

the explosion of The igniter before they had a chance to collide and start the super explosion.

raised to this enormous The American 11-bomb temperature by using the research-according to offi- explosion of a uranium bomb cinlly inspired reports-is as an "igniter." Scientists no further forward than the are qertain that the air uranium bomb project was

NANCY

HAIR WAVING

LOTION

FOR AN INSTANT

WAVE

Crimping Her Style

SPLASH

O new PINING ILIK

called a tunapen

Similar lazupers might be de viser for holding in the heavy

cut the cond

THE

ME Bemish Government does Bol pion to carry out any beyond

work: ON H-bombs Theoretical remarvia, 1 under- aland No plant for the produc-

tion of heavy hydrogen is to be set up in Britain, it was officially

inter.

Intelligenser offers are

con vinced that the atomie weapo exploded recently in Russia was

not an H-laoisha.

← (London Express Service}

ON-THE-SPOT DILEMMA

by VINCENT EVANS

WASHINGTON. LAVERY marning President Fruman gels op around six o'clock knowing that he is st for abolter bludgeoning from Press and radio commentators demanding his answers to the quetlents | "Are you going to make thr hydrogen bomb Want about the churches? flave YOU

that considered Rusin might make the bomb 7 Can we afford to be without

it David Lilienthal, reigning chief

of the Atomic Energy Com

1 spl between the fear of being caught withou1

mission

wo

aydrogen bombs and goine down into history as the m

bind not the morai courage to make them. Columnists and radio men here have been carefully ted by the disputing siden. Says one expert: "Theoretically. It would des troy fe within 60 miles-the whole of New York and a large pari of Connecticut. The possibir killing range in 200 mila"

Most people think Truman wil to farahul Stalin and may

am going to make the hydro- gen bomb. We have got the lead over YOU. Won't you come to terms on control **

o

By Ernie Bushmiller

The Socialista ako expect to

the

majority is now between 3,000 und 4,000, Say 40 seatakan, And no M.P. gets kicked Any more likely to go? Yes, upstairs to the House of the Socialists expect to be net

Lusers from while there is any changes

boundary Lords chance whatever of losing Some Tory strongholds, such his seat in the Commons. as the City of London, will no longer exist as constituencies. But their voters must vote nomewhere, They are now included in Socfullst constitues-

SAFE SEATS

THUS, in by-elections, a cles, and the result of the Tory Government is fighting tuflux may be to swing the new its safest seats. It should seal Tory.

That is what the Socialista. do extra well. Instead this think will happen in 20 or more Government has been doing of the "reconstituted" constitu- Increasingly badly. On the encles. strength of that, the Tories

Here are the figures they don't like to add up:-- alrently credit themselves

Tutul loss of sealo-more than with more than 100 extra 00.

from 140 Majority down seats in the new Parliament. to 25.

This is how their ment runa :-----

.

argy- LINE-UP

By the time next year To sum up the forecasts or both sides, here is the table the people of Gravesend, of how they stand now,

300

194

and

50 540

(25

50

Kent, must expect to have a how they expect to share out different M.P. to open their the 025 seats in 1950:-

Boe, Tories Others Toil, bazaars. The people of Bur- Now ton, Stuffs, will certainly One seat vacant

Tory hope.. 204 300 have a new man to put their See, hope!

The Liberals, as usual, are questions in Parliament.

putting up 400 candidates, but either of the bigger parties is allowing a separate column for that.

For both these towns ΠΡΟ

among the 37 now represented by Socialist M.P.B with major ties below 2,000. They will all be out next time, say the Tories.

325

240

And

-London Express Bürüne)

bif

INSECT SPRAY

WITH DOT

When there's bit Ineedn't use my fist!

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SOLE AGENTS NAN KANG CO.