1941-03-04 — Page 4

Tuesday,

HONGKONG TELEGRAPH

March 4, 1941.

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HOTEL GARAGE Stubbs Id.

tion of the moment is "Can Germany Invade Bri-

Britain?

By

country, but in olther he will be at a disadvantage against the Hlubborn defence that has been prepared for him, and which he must overcome quickly or bo overwhelmed.

So I think that an invader's destruction cannot be long de- layed, and is, in any case, in- evitable sooner or later.

And as Hiller must know this as well as I do, I do not believe he will order the attack, a gambler's fast

tain?" If I were asked for Major E. W. Sheppard, except s

an answer in one word, it would be No.

Let me expand and qualify that view.

famous writer on Army affairs, “and Military Correspondent for the "Daily Herald,” London

plunge,

But, you may say, perhaps he will spring some new methods of attack on us. What about the possibility of invasion fron

cured a footing somewhere on tish Navy. There is not the the air? It does not mean that Ger- our const, it would be of small slightest reason to believe that many cannot land troops in use to them, Britain. That is possible, though improbable.

What It Means

it ever will be. Certainly it will

It is possible that he might not be able to clear the seaways manage to land small forces at ncross the Channel for its army other means, and hope to rein- various points by parachute or

To get ashore the mass of No, if the German army comes force them later by larger And it does not necessarily mean that she may not try to armament, munitions, transport here, it must still do so uncover- parties in troop-carrying aero-

and other material required for ed. land troops in the Old Country, the conquest of Britain, they

planes. I

Perhaps she will be forced by would have to seize at least one But let us suppose that por- Swift Warning

tact.

*

But

political circumstances to at- well-equipped, port, with its tions of it do get here, as they

we should get swift which docks and quays and cranes in just conceivably might. For if warning of their arrival. They tempt the project at

Hitler launched several forces would be quickly ringed round Napoleon baulked.

from different points of his far by our forces, and our counter- War material cannot just be flung coastline of occupied terri- attacks would be launched at expressed definitely and unhesi. thrown into the water out of tory, one or two of them might

ships' holds-assuming you have sneak to land. Thongkong Telegraph.tatingly, Germany cannot con- the ships and can get them close

The

Tuesday, March 4, 1941.

Wyndham St., Hongkong Telephone: 20015

THE prefix "Special to the Telegraph" is nied by the "Hongkong Telegraph" to indicate news which is strictly espyright under the provisions of the Telecommuni- cations Ordinance, 1936. Such news aa bears the indiextión “Ute is received in Hongkong on the date of publication by the United Press Associations, who to- serve all rights and forbid republications, eller wholly or in part without previous arrangement,

REPRISAL RAIDS

THE daily reports of the German High Command' are always cunningly worded; they are, in fact, an important part of Nazi propaganda. This is well illustrated in their mauner of recording large-scale air raids on, Britain,

It means that in my opinion,

invasion.

quer Britain by means of an to the shore-and they cannot be landed by boats on an open beach. Big port equipment is required.

Here are my reasons.

1

Obstacles

once,

The enemy would be heavily outnumbered, and outclassed in weapons,

He would still be

him,

In that case, however, they unable to bring large supplies would be most hazardously of arms and munitions with placed. They would still be up If Hitler had thought an in-

But our ports are well de against those obstacles I men. He would still be fighting in vasion could succeed. he would fended, and even if one fell into tioned above: superior oppost country unfavourable to the have tried it months ago. If enemy hands we should certainly tion, strong defences, problems rapid and far-reaching advance ever he had a chance of bringing leave it in no fit state for use of supply, lack of tanks and he requires.

it off at all, he had one last sum-

mer.

He would, in fact, be up Without such a port, the in heavy guns. vaders must either starve of

against the same difficulties as Only with all these obstacles those which would have con- He waste away, or be left helpless removed could they make the fronted him had he come by

to face our powerful counter swift and irresistible progress RUN,

inland that alone can bring

He missed that chance. will never get so good a one again.

His fleet was too weak to

offensive.

Just Suppose

Supposing he tries it now, or

And in the long run his fate would be the same, too.

Wrong Way

reserves

The attempt must end in them any sort of success.

The possibility of a German No Chance ghastly failure,

There are other drawbacks. landing in Eire may occur to It was as well for Hitler that For example, the invaders would some. I have never been able Undoubtedly, he meant to in- vade us last, autumn.

But when he did not try it last summer, not have that close air support to see the advantage of this step Or if as some stories go, he did that was the key to the German as a move towards the eventual invasion of Britain. It is a step the time came to launch the try it, then he, was fortunate victory over France.

in the wrong direction, attack, he found himself faced that it was stifled at birth.

Also, the country in which

It still leaves the main job to with an impossible task-und he

they would have to, operate is be done. Its only purpose, far from favourable," · abandoned it.

therefore, would be as a diver- In the north, where a landing slon-if German forces froin For example, the Nazis an- cover the passage of his invad- next month, or in the early from Norway might possibly be Eire could later attack Western summer of 1941? His air force attempted, there is good ground Britain, simultaneously with nounce that a recent nighting army. His air force was

may have more and better for tank operations. But it is others from the east or south. blown out of the sky by the machines than it had attack on Cardiff was in re.

last we, not the invaders, who will R.A.F. and could not cover his autumn-but so has the R.A.F. have the tanks. taliation for a British raid on

And the R.A.F, to-day and

Even then.. our Bremen,

East Anglia and the Home The implication is army, either.

to-morrow, as yesterday, would -that-if-Bremen-had-not-been-

If he had persisted, the Ger- go into battle with all the moral Counties are, for the most part, would be more powerful and atincked. Cardiff would not have

man soldiers would have had to factors of superiority on its side, "closed" country-with small mobile than anything the enemy fields and many trees and could get ashore. We could heen visited by the German attempt the invasion alone and

And what a fear sweeping the skies to clear

The Luftwaffe's prospects of hedges. Here every step of the therefore deal first with one, and bombers. By this stratagem it

uncovered.

invader's progress would be then with the rest of these some task lies before any army way across the Channel for its clogged and hampered, by Home divided hostile forces, long be- is hoped to arouse defeatism.

army are highly unpromising, to Guards as well as regular forces, fore they could lend one another up against that! the pence-mindedness, in stricken British towns. Goebbels imagines that their inhabitants will exclaim, "If the R.A.F. had only stopped at home, this would not have happened."

Actually, nowhere is the desire to see Germany paid back

or.

It has to set forth upon tricky put it mildly. waters notorious for the vagaries of their winds and tides.

It has to face the hidden perila of mine and submarine.

Risks They Run

It has to expose itself to the in her own coin stronger than attack of surface craft-against it is in the cities that have which it could not defend itself. suffered most from Nazi fright- And it has to lay itself open, fulness. These cities know that even if the R.A.F. never crossed the frontiers of the Reich, the enemy bombers would still do. their best to wrenk blind des truction on British towns.

while embarking, crossing and approaching the further shore, Lo

incessant bombing and machine-gunning from the air.

Those perils are as great to- day as they were last autumn.

Even if they were survived, and Hitler's army reached our shores-sea-sick and nerve-shat- tered-it would have to land on a coast long and carefully pre- pared for defence, bristling with obstacles, and manned by su perior forces.

This is the weapon, with which Hitler hoped to crush British morale. He must see by now that, like his other calculations concerning Britain, it is quite mistaken; but the ruthless use of the Luftwaffe will probably continue until the problem of the night bomber has been solved. When Hitler adopts the pose that his so-called reprisal raids are a distasteful and unavoidable necessity he Against these, the invaders deceives no one, not even hin- could put only such light arma- self, for no barbarity or in- ment as their frail craft could humanity is distasteful to the carry. Chief Iun.

Free French In Tahiti

These forces are fully trained, resolute, and eager to fight.. They are armed with tanks, machine-guns, field guns, and heavy artillery.

No, the invader would have practically no chance of even getting ashore. Such a "Battle for Britain" would begin and end in with a. bloody massacre on our

benches.

Fren French headquarters Sydney have announced plans to | form a well-equipped military force

of 3.000 Free Frenchmen li Caledonia and Tahiti to carry on the war against Germany and Italy.

Now

Even if the hundredth chance came off, and the Germans se-

and he will not have the heavy any real help.

It, too, artillery or large supplies of If Eire is ever invaded by the The German fleet? may be increased, but still not ammunition necessary to force Germans, it will probably be with the idea of blocking our by so much or at such a speed his way forward. as ours.

The South of England is no sen routes across the Atlantic. It has never yet been equal to more favourable to him. It has As a preliminary to invasion of keeping the sea against the Bri- alternations of open and closed Britain, it would be a waste of time and strength in the wrong direction.

THESE MEN are ready to carry out the Fremler's words. "We shall fight on the beagles." They are taking up position during defensive training somewhere

coast.

on the

I believe, then, that, unless we relax our vigilance-and we shall not-the chances of a anccessful invasion of the coun- try on orthodox lines are all but non-existent..

There

Surprises?

may be surprise methods--and surprise replies. on our side. Of these, obvious- ly, nothing useful can be said.

Outside of them, only purely political reasons could persuade any sensible military leader in Germany to make the attempt. If political reasons force Hit- ler to try invasion, all the better for us and all the worse for him. History is full of dire lessons on what happens when politics are allowed to control military

moves,

TO-MORROW:

Freda Utley

authority on Far

Eastern affairs, renders an up-to-date

analysis of the question-

What Will Happen

in the Far East?