1941-03-04 — Page 20

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Hitler

Britain?

Invade Britain

THE great military ques-

tion of the moment is "Can Germany Invade Bri-

By

country, but in either he will be at a disadvantago against the stubborn defence that has been prepared for him, and which he must overcome quickly or be overwhelmed.

So I think that an invader's destruction cannot be long de- layed, and is, in any case, in- evitable sooner or later.

And as Hitler must know this as well as I do, I do not bellove ho will order the attack,

tain?" If I were asked for Major E. W. Sheppard, Oxcept

an answer in one-word, it- would be No.

Let me expand and qualify that view..

Famous writer on Army affairs, and Military : Correspondent for the “Daily Herald,” London

plunge

1 gambler's last

But, you may say, perhaps he will spring some new methods of attack on us. What about the possibility of invasion from There is not the the air?

It does not mean that Ger- cured a footing somewhere on tish Navy.

our const, it would be of small slightest reason to believe that many cannot land troops in use to them. Britain. That is possible, though improbable.

What It Means

it ever will be: Cortainly it will It is possible that he might not be able to clear the seaways manage to land small forces at various points by parachute or across the Channel for its army. other means, and hope to rein- And it does not necessarily To get ashore the mass of

No, if the German army comes force them later by. larger. mean that she may not try to armament, munitions, transport here, it must still do so uncover- parties in troop-carrying aero-

and other material required for ed. land troops in the Old Country the conquest of Britain, they

tact.

Hongkong Telegraph. tatingly, Germany cannot con- the ships and can get them close

Tuesday, March 4, 1941; Wyndham St., Hongkong Telephone: 26815.

THE breix "special to the Telegraph” is used by the "Hongkong Telegraph" to fadicate nows which is strictly copyright under the provisions of the Telecommant- cations Ordinance, 2936. Such news as bears the Indication "UP" is received in Hongkong on the data of publication by the United Press Associations, who re- serve all rights and forbid republications, either wholly or in part without previous arrangement.

REPRISAL RAIDS

pre

THE daily reports of the German High Command always cunningly worded; they are, in fact, an important part of Nazi propaganda. This is well illustrated in their manner of recording large-scale air raids on Britain.

Here are my reasons.

Obstacles

planes.

orce.

Perhaps she will be forced by would have to seize at least one But let us suppose that por- Swift Warning political circumstances to at- well-equipped port, with its tions of it do get here, as they 'But we should got swift tempt the project at which docks and quays and cranes in- just conceivably might. For if warning of their arrival, They Hitler launched several forces would be quickly ringed round Napoleon baulked.

from different points of his far by our forces, and our counter- War material cannot just be flung coastline of occupied terri- attacks would be launched at It means that in my opinion, expressed definitely and unhesi- thrown into the water out of tory, one or two of them might

ships' holds-assuming you have sneak to land.

The enemy would be heavily quer Britain by means of an to the shore-and they cannot

outnumbered, and outclassed in weapons. He would still be invasion.

be landed by boats on an open beach. Big port equipment is In that case, however, they unable to bring large supplies required.

would be most hazardously of arms and munitions with

him. If Hitler had thought an in-

placed. They would still be up But our ports are well de- against those obstacles I men-

He would still be fighting in vasion could succeed, he would fended, and even if one fell into tioned above: superior oppost country unfavourable to the have tried it months ago. If enemy hands we should certainly tion, strong defences, problems rapid and far-reaching advance over he had a chance of bringing leave it in no fit state for use. of supply, lack of tanks and he requires.

He would, in fact, be up Without such a port, the in- heavy guns. vaders must either starve or Only with all these obstacles 4gainst the same difficulties as He waste away, or be left. helpless removed could they make the those which would have con- one

to face our powerful counter swift and irresistible progress fronted him had he come by offensive.

And in the long run his inland that alone can bring sca

fate would be the same, too. The attempt must end in them any sort of success.

The possibility of a German ghastly failure.

There are other. drawbacks. landing in Eire may occur to

it off at all, he had one last sum-

mer.

He missed that chance. will never get so good a again.

No Chance

Undoubtedly, he meant to in-

It was as well for Hitler that For example, the invaders would some. I have never been able vade us last autumn. But when he did not try it last summer. not have that close air support to see the advantage of this stop the time came to launch the Or if as some stories go, he did that was the key to the German as a move towards the eventual

try it, then he, was fortunate victory over France. attack, he found himself faced that it was stifled at birth. with an impossible task—and he abandoned it.

His fleet was too weak to

Just Suppose

Supposing he tries it now, or

Wrong Way

our

reserves

invasion of Britain. It is a step in the wrong direction. -Also, the country in which

It still leaves the main job to they would have to operate is be done. Its only purpose, far from favourable.

therefore, would be as a diver In the north, where a landing sion-if German forces from For example, the Nazis an-

cover the passage of his invad- text month, or in the early from Norway might possibly be Eire could later attack Western. simultaneously with His air force was summer of 1941? His air force attempted, there is good ground Britain nounce that 11 recent night ing army.

may have more and better for tank operations. But it is others from the cast or south. blown out of the sky by the machines than it had last we, not the invaders, who will attack on Cardiff was in re-

R.A.F. and could not cover his autumn-but so has the R.A.F. have the tanks.. taliation for a British raid on

And the R.A.F. to-day and army, either. Bremen,

East Anglia and the Home Even then, The implication is that if Bremen had not been-

If he had persisted, the Ger- to-morrow, as yesterday, would

go into battle with all the moral Counties are, for the most part, would be more powerful and attacked, Cardiff would not have attempt the invasion alone and

man soldiers would have had to factors of superiority on Its side. "closed" country-with-small-mobile-than-nnything the enemy fields, and many trees and could get ashore. We could been visited by the German uncovered. And what a fear-

The Luftwaffe's prospects of hedges. Here every step of the therefore deal first with one, and sweeping the skies to clear a invader's progress would be then with the rest of these bombers. By this stratagem it some task lies before any army way across the Channel for its clogged and hampered, by Home divided hostile forces, long be is hoped to arouse defeatism up against that!

army are highly unpromising, to Guards as well as regular forces, fore they could lend one another or pence-mindedness in the

and he will not have the heavy any real help. It has to set forth upon tricky put it mildly. stricken British towns. Goebbels waters notorious for the vagaries The German fleet? It, too, artillery or large supplies of If Eire is ever invaded by the imagines that their inhabitants of their winds and tides. may be increased, but still not ammunition necessary to force Germans, it will probably be with the idea of blocking our will exclaim, "If the R.A.F.

by so much or at such a speed his way forward. It has to face the hidden perils

The South of England is no sea routes across the Atlantic. had only stopped' at home, thia

It has never yet been equal to more favourable to him. It has As a preliminary to invasion of would not have happened."

keeping the sea against the Bri- alternations of open and closed Britain, it would be a waste of time and strength in the wrong Actually, nowhere la the

direction.

desire to see Germany paid back in her own coin stronger than it is in the cities that have suffered most from Nazi fright- fulness. These cities know that, even if the R.A.F. never crossed the frontiers of the Reich, the enemy bombers would still do

of mine and submarine.

Risks They Run

It has to expose itself to the attack of surface craft-against which it could not defend itself.

to

and

And it has to lay itself open, while embarking, crossing and approaching the further shore,

incessant bombing machine-gunning from the air.

Those perils are as great to- their best to wreak blind des- day as they were last autumn.

truction on British towns.

Even if they were survived, This is the weapon with

and Hitler's army reached our which Hitler hoped to crush shores-sea-sick and nerve-shat British morale. He must see tered-it would have to land on by now that, like his othern coast long and carefully pre- calculations concerning Britain,pared for defence, bristling with it is quite mistaken; but the obstacles, and manned by su

perior-forces,

These forces are fully trained, resolute, and cager to fight. They are armed with tanks, machine-guns, field guns, and

ruthless use of the Luftwaffe will probably continue until the problem of the night bomber has been solved. When Hitler adopts the pose that his so-called reprisal raids are a distasteful heavy artillery,

and unavoidable necessity he

Against these, the invaders deceives no one, not even him- could put only such light arma- self, for no. barbarity or in- ment as their frail craft could humanity is distasteful to the carry. Chief Hun.

Free French In Tahiti

No, the invader would have practically no chance of even getting ashore. Such a "Battlo for Britain" would begin and end Free French hendauarters In with a bloody massacre on our Sydney have announced plans to beaches, form a well-equipped military force of 3,000 Free Frenchmen in New Caledonia and Tahiti to carry on the war against Germany, and Italy.

Even if the hundredth chance camo off, and the Germana so-

as ours.

THESE MEN are ready to carry out the Premier's words, We shall fight on the benches." They are taking up position during defensive training somewhere) on the

coast.

we

I believe, then, that, unless we relax our vigilance-and shall not the chances of a successful invasion of the coun- try on orthodox lines are all but non-existent.

Surprises?

There may bo surprise methods and surprise replies on our side. Of these, obvious- ly, nothing useful can be said.

Outside of them, only purely political reasons could persuade any sensible military leader in Germany to make the attempt. If political reasons force Hit- ler to try invasion, all the better for us and all the worse for him. History is full of dire lessons on what happens when politics are allowed to control military. moves.

TO-MORROW:

Freda

Utley authority on Far

Eastern affairs,

renders an up-to-date analysis of the

question

What Will Happen-

in the Far East ?

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