1940-03-01 — Page 6

6

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Friday, March 1, 1940.

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Tale prefix "Special to the Telegraph" is used by the "Ifangkong Telegraph to indicate news which in strictly copyright under the provisions of the Telecommuni- callons Ordinance, 1936. Such nawa sa bears the tndication "tip" is received in Hongkong on the date of publication by the United Press Associations, who re- serve all rights and forbid republication, ellier wholly or in part without previotte arrangement

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IN

OUT OF CONTROL

THE

WILL WAR SPREAD?

TN the first month of the war people went about asking one another, "When is it going to begin?"

In the second month the public, in a mood of suspicious bewilderment, said: "There is something fishy war."

about this:

-By-

GEORGE MALCOLM

THOMSON.

One factor remains, however, far more likely to discourage Stalin. Would Britain tolerate the transfer of a North Sea port to Russin? Would the War Cabinet and the Admiralty nc- cept this change in the face of Europe?

BEFORE

Stalin launches his troops

over the icy Norse mountains he must know what we would do. And he may come to the conclusion that the Balkans offer him better, and safer, hunting.

The Bulgarians look up to him. They have not lost their sentimental attachment to "Grandfather Ivan." And they have been badly treated by fate.

It has often been pointed out. that Britain entered the present war under the double disadvantage as compared with 1914 of a reduced agricultural acreage and of a deterioration in the quality of much of the

With the third month came

Stalin may toss them a chunk land still under cultivation. As another change. People asked, So far, though, there is velopments in Scandinavia and of Rumania, dangle a strip of

no real proof that South-Eastern Europe,

Greece before their noses-a against this, however, Britain "when is it going to end 7" They Stalin has launched on a career

had a conviction that the war of great conquests. His mili

strip that would give back Bul- NORWAY has, enjoys

advantage would fizzle out.

garin her outlet on the Mediter- course, no capacity rancan-and bind the Bulgari- tary occupation of eastern which was lacking in 1914,

Now we are in the fourth Poland and the Baltic States, to withstand a Russian attack ans to his chariot wheels. namely, a well-prepared scheme, month, Once again the mood his attack on Finland and the in the far north. But Sweden

A Balkan adventure would or rather series of schemes, for burn up Poland, and sweep into may simply mean that Father the Scandinavian peninsula as oilfields his own do not supply is different. We have seen war threats he hurls at Rumania would almost certainly regard a have many advantages for Sta- swoop by the Red Army into lin. Control of the Rumanian the rapid development of war- Finland, while leaving France Joseph, Leader of Nations, is danger she would be compelled enough for his needs. Britain time output.

and Britain strangely untouched. determined to win back the

So we say to our friends. Is military-outposts--which-the to resist..

would-be-flouted. And, by-a

now

Onc

wor.

of

the war, going to spread?" Czara held on their western Sweden, with an army that nice malicious irony, Germany

bases.

At

The foundations had already. been laid in peace-time for an

frontier. When he has taken can be raised to half a million would become more than ever expansion which could be rendi-

MOST people think it Bessarabia and the Finnish well-equipped men, with a self-dependent on the good graces of ly adapted to the more intensive

will. The that, somehow or other-nobody content.

belief bases that he covels, he may be contained arms Industry and a Moscow. requirements of

small but efficient fleet, is not Since

But, if Stalin has to think of * quite know how the armies

Britain in the North Sea, he must- But who knows? Stalin an adversary to be despised. the outbreak of war the benefits would be disbanded and the can-

Maybe the Ribbentrop-Molo-solini might meet a Russian inter- consider Italy in the Balkans. Mus- have already been reaped in a non would trundle back to the may not only want the Czarist

He may also be bitten tov agreement leaves Sweden vention in the Balkans by the notable degree, notwithstanding gun parks and peace would with the Czarist ambitions. If within the German orbit. methods he used in Spain. Without

come again to gladden the hearts some minor difficulties such as of men--all that optimistic feel-0, we know what he is after. the moment, the Germans are Italian legionaries, airplanes, and declaring war, he might despatch It is all in the history books-doing everything possible to munitions to oppose the Russians. the temporary shortage in feed- ing has vanished.

In its place there reigns Norwegian const, as far south to the aid of the Finns,

A warm-water port on the frighten the Swedes from going ing stuffs for pigs and poultry,

deep fatalism. The war will

And WHAT of the other Napo- and the time has come when spread and spread, like an

as possible.

a Russian descent on Norway does litter see they can be still further en-epidemic, engulfing one peaceful

Domination of the Balkans. might synchronise with a Ger- him? So if Stalin is to be the war-man invasion of southern hanced by the suitable adjust-land after another, until finally ment of measures already in whole hemisphere, is writhing

the whole Continent, maybe the spreader, we may expect de- 'Sweden.

being. A large number of auch in a confused and horrible me-

the nightmare, adjustments, individually small lee. That is but cumulatively important, is which haunts us. contained in the Agriculture (Miscellaneous Wor Provi- sions) Bill.

The vanished optimism stupid. But it does not mean that the new pessimism must be accepted without question.

wars in

There have been Typical of the new proposals Europe which did not spread. are the removal of the acreage The Franco-Prussian war. The or quantitative limits on which Crimean war was a localised the subsidies in the case of ontspoleon's stature arises, however, struggle. When a man of Na- and barley, and the deficiency all Europe goes up like tinder. payments in the case of wheat, have hitherto been payable; the isn't that just the situation we Ah, say the pessimists, and increase in the guaranteed price have to-day? In fact, we have for wheat; the extension of the two Napoleons, one in Berlin subsidy to rye, a crop now al- and the other in Moscow, cach, most extinct in this country working in collaboration with but useful because it will grow the other.

on lighter soils than the other cereals; and the easing of the

conditions of eligibility for the any now principle established, ploughing-up subsidy. Further but their oggregate contribution Important clauses confer nddi- towards the enhancement of

tional powers on catchment home food production is likely boards and County Councils in to be substantial. One of the order to facilitate the initiation objects which Sir Reginald | and execution of much needed Dorman-Smith has constantly land drainago works and also in view is to meet the neces provide Exchequer grants to-sities of war without exposing wards the cost. Thore la an agriculture to a recurrence of other clause permitting the the disastrous slump of the Minister to extend credits to years after 1919; and it is not small farmers, who, for various | unreasonable to hope that he is rensons, may be unable to ob creating the basis of a prosperl- tain them through the ordinary ty which will endure per- channels.

manently in the ultimate

In none of these measures in transition from war to peace.

GRIN AND BEAR IT

cont

What opportunities. as he looks round

Sweden? The possibility of snatch- ing the rich are felds. On the other hand, the danger that British bombers, establishing themselves swiftly in Swedish bases, could porta and the ships that bring him valuable cargoes across that sen,

ncat

By Lichty threaten his Baltic

"You musta been dreamin' somebody was proposing to you.

Maxine-you kept yelling 'Yos, 'yes', for ten minutes!”-

Denmark? Easy game. A rounding off of his northern frontiers. Before 1014, German generals were dissuaded from the seizure of the Donish pastures only because Britain and Russia would have unlied to re- sist it. And now Britain and Russia are divided.

Or Hitler might content himself by seizing the Danish island of Bornholm or the Swedish island of Gotland. Look at your Map and see. how these islands would strengthen Germany's Baltic position against. Russia,

Or the other hand, Baltic con- quests will not win Hitler's war for him. If he is going to extend the war, he will do so with the object of destroying Britain. An attack on: Holland seems the most promising way of achieving this purpose.

He was ready to do the job on November 11. At the last minute he cancelled the trip. Why? Was it fear of the shock to American- opinion? Or did the generala ad.. vise him that, on balance, there was more to lose than to gain:

The reasons must have been big and solid. And if they were good on November 11 they inay till be good.

THE

Low

Countries, the-

Balkans, and Scandinavia, If the war sprends, those are the likely directions of its advance. Note this, though in not one of them would all the agiantage go to the agkremor or hià accomplice,

But:

One must admit that the clouds hang low over those regiona. one should not assume that the storm! will break..