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THE prenx "Special to the Telegraph" is used by the longkang Telegraph" to indicate news which is strictly copyright under the provisions of the Telecommuni- cations Ordinance, 1016. Such news as bears the Indiestion “UP” is received ja Hongkong on the date of publication by the United Fres Associations, who rec Kerve all rights and forbid republication. either wholly or in part without previone arrangement
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It has often been pointed that Britain entered the present war under the double disadvantage as compared with 1914 of a reduced agricultural acreage and of a deterioration in the quality of much of the land still under cultivation. As
against this, however, Britain now enjoys one advantage which
was lacking in 1914, Gnamely, a well-prepared scheme,
IN
Abitaz
OUT OF CONTROL
THE
WILL WAR SPREAD?
TN the first month of the asking one another, "When war people went about
is it going to begin?"
In the second month the public, in a mood of suspicious bewilderment, said: "There is something fishy About this war."
With the third month came another change. People asked,
-By-
GEORGE MALCOLM
THOMSON
of
the
NORWAY
course,
One factor remains, however, far more likely to discourage Stalin. Would Britain tolerato the transfer of a North Sea port to Russia? Would the War Cabinet and the Admiralty ac- cept this change in the face of Europe?
B
EFORE Stalin
launches his troops. over the icy Norse mountains he must know what we would do. And he may come to the conclusion that the Balkans offer him better, and safer.. hunting.
The Bulgarians look up to him. They have not lost their | sentimental attachment to. "Grandfather Ivan." And they have been badly treated by fate. Stalin may toss them a chunk
So far, though, there is velopments in Scandinavia and of Rumania, dangle a strip of "when is it going to end?" They Stalin has launched on a career
no real proof that South-Eastern Europe.
Greece before their noses-a had a conviction that the war of great conquests. His mill-
strip that would give back Bul- has, would fizzle out.
ofgaria her outlet on the Mediter tary occupation eastern
no capacity rancan-and bind the Bulgari.. Now we are in the fourth Poland and the Baltic States, to withstand a Russian attack ans to his chariot wheels. month, Once again the mood his attack on Finland and the in the far north. But Sweden is different.
A Balkan adventure would or rather series of schemes, for burn up Poland, and sweep into may simply mean that Father swoop by the Red Army intelin. Control of the Rumanian We have seen war threats he huris at Rumania would almost certainly regard a have many advantages for Sta- the rapid development of war-Finland, while leaving France Joseph, Leader of Nations, is danger she would be compelled enough for his needs. Britnin the Scandinavian peninsula as a oilfields his own do not supply time output.
and Britain strangely untouched. determined to win back the
So we say to our friends. "Is military outposts which
to resist. the war going to spread?"
would be flouted. And, by n Czara held on their western Sweden, with an army that nice malicious irony, Germany frontier. When he has taken can be raised to half a million would become more than ever MOST people think it Bessarabia and the Finnish well-equipped men, with a self-dependent on the good graces of
will. The belief bases that he covets, he may be contained arms industry and a Moscow. that, somehow or other-nobody content.
small but efficient fleet, ia not But, if Stalin has to think of quite knew how the armies would be disbanded and the can- may not only want the Czarist
knows?-Stalin an adversary to be despised. Britain in the North Sea, he must consider Italy in the Balkans, Mus- Maybe the Ribbentrop-Molo-solint might meet a Russian inter bases, He may also be bitten tov agreement leaves Sweden vention gun parks and peace would with the Czarist ambitions. If within the German orbit. At methods he used in Spain. Without In the Balkans by the come again to gladden the hearts, we know what he is after. the moment, the Germans are Itallan legionaries, airplanes and of men-all that optimistic feel- It is all in the history books:-doing everything possible to munitions to oppose the Russians,
declaring wor, he might despatch. ing has vanished.
A warm-water port on the frighten the Swedes from going Norwegian coast, as far south to the aid of the Finns,
WHAT of the other Napo- Wlcon? as possible.
in Russian descent on Norway does Hitler see.
What opportunities as he looks round Domination of the Balkans. might synchronise with a Ger- him? So if Stalin is to be the war-man invasion of southern spreader, we may expect de- Sweden.
"The foundations had already been laid in peace-time for an expansion which could be readi- ly adapted to the more intensive! requirements of war. Since the outbreak of war the benefits have already been reaped in a
notable dégree, notwithstanding some minor difficulties such as the temporary shortage in feed- ing stuffs for pigs and poultry, and the time has come when they can be still further en- hanced by the suitable adjust. ment of measures already in being. A large number of such adjustments, individually small but cumulatively important, is contained in the Agriculture (Miscellaneous War Provi- sions) Bill.
non would trundle back to the
In its place there reigns a deep fatalism. The war will spread and spread, like an epidemic, engulfing one peaceful) land after another, until finally the whole Continent, maybe the whole hemisphere, is writhing in a confused and horrible me- lee. That is the nightmare which haunts us.
was
The vanished optimism stupid. But it does not mean | that the new pessimism must be accepted without question.
There have been Wars in Typical of the new proposals Europe which, did not spread.j are the removal of the acreage The Franco-Prussian war. The or quantitative limits on which Crimean war was a localised struggle. When a man of Na- the subsidies in the case of oats polcon's stature arises, however, and barley, and the deficiency all Europe goes up like tinder. payments in the case of wheat, Ah, say the pessimists, and have hitherto been payable; the isn't that just the situation we Increase in the guaranteed price have to-day? In fact, wo have for wheat; the extension of the two Napoleons, one in Berlin subsidy to ryc, a crop now al-and the other in Moscow, each most extinct in this country working in collaboration with but useful because it will grow the other. on lighter soils than the other ccrcals; and the casing of the
conditions of eligibility for the any new principle established, ploughing-up subsidy. Further but their aggregate contribution important clauses confer addi- towards the enhancement of tional powers on catchment home food production is likely boards and County Councils in to be substantial. One of the order to facilitate the initiation objects which and execution of much needed Dorman-Smith
Sir Reginald has constantly land drainage works and also in viow is to meet the neces- provide Exchequer grants to- sities of war without exposing. wards the cost. There is an-agriculture to a recurrence of other clause permitting the the disastrous slump of the Minister to extend credits to years after 1919; and it is not small farmers, who, for various unreasonable to hope that he fa reasons, may be unable to ob- creating the basis of a prosperi- tain them through the ordinary ty which will endure per channels.
manently in tho ultimate
In none of these measures is transition from war to peace.
But who
GRIN AND BEAR IT
And
Sweden? The possibility of snatch-- Ing the rich ore fields. On the other hand, the danger that British. bombers, establishing themselves swiftly In Swedish bases, could.
By Lichty threaten his Baltic ports and the
"You musta boon dreamin' somebody was proposing to you, Maxine-you kept yelling 'Yes, yes', for ten minutes!!!
ships that bring him valuable cargoes across that sea
Denmark? Easy game, A neat rounding off of his northern frontiers. Before 1014, German generals were dissuaded
from the
seizure of the. Danish pastures only because Britain and Russia would have united to Paist It. And now Britain and Rusala
are divided.
Or Hitler might content himself by seizing the Danish island of Bornholm or the Swedish Jaland of Colland. Look at your Map and see how these islands would strengthen Germany's Ballic position against Russia
On the other hand, Baltic con- quests will not win Hitler's war for him. If he is going to extend the wor, he will do so with the object of destroying Britain. An attack on Holland seems the most promising way of achieving this purpose.
He was ready to do the job on November 11. At the Inst minute ho cancelled the trip. Why? Was It fear of the shock to American opinion? Or did the generals ad- vise him that, on balance, there was more to lose than to gain:
The reasons must have been big and solid. And if they were good on November 11 they may still ba good.
THE LOW
Countries, the
Balkans, and Scandinavia, If the war spreads, those. are the Bkely directions of its advanco. Nate this, though: in not one of them would all the advantage go to the aggressor of his accomplice,
One must admit that the clouds hang low over those regions. But one should not namume that the storm will break,
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