1940-03-01 — Page 16

6

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THE preix "pecial to the Telegraph" i used by the "Hongkong Telegraph" to indicate news which is strictly copyright under the provisions of the Telecommuni cations Ordinanco, 1916, Such news ai bears the indication "U" is received in Hongkong on the date of publication by the United Press Anoriations, who re

ergo it rights and forbid enpublication. either wholly or in part without previous arrangement

OUT OF

CONTROL

THE

WILL WAR SPREAD?

More Home-Grown FoodIN the first month of the

war people went about

In the second month the public, in a mood of suspicious bewilderment, said: "There is something fishy About war."

this

-By-

GEORGE MALCOLM

THOMSON

One factor remains, however, far more likely to discourage Stalin. Would Britain tolerate the transfer of a North Sea port to Russia? Would the Wor Cabinet and the Admiralty ac cept this change in the face of Europe?

BEFORE

Stalin

launches his troops

over the icy Norse mountains he must know what we would do. And he may come to "the conclusion that the Balkans offer him better, and safer. hunting.

The Bulgarians look up to him. They have not lost their sentimental attachment to "Grandfather. Ivan." And they have been badly treated by fate. Stalin may toss them a chunk

It has often been pointed asking one another, "When Oul that Britain entered the is it going to begin?" present war under the double disadvantage as compared with 1914 of a reduced agricultural acreage and of a deterioration in the quality of much of the

With the third month came land still under cultivation. As another change. People asked, So far, though, there is velopments in Scandinavia and of Rumanin, dangle a strip of

"when is it going to end?" They Stalin has launched on a career

no real proof that South-Eastern Europe. against this, however, Britain had a conviction that the war of great conquests. His mili-

one

enjoys

advantage now which was lacking in 1914, numely, a well-prepared scheme, or rather series of schemes, for the rapid development of war

time output.

The foundations-had-alrendy been laid in peace-time for an expansion which could be readi- ly adapted to the more intensive requirements of war.

would fizzle out.

the war going to spread?"

tary

occupation

of

eastern

NORWAY

course.

of

Britain

Greece before their noses-a strip that would give back Bul- has, garia her outlet on the Mediter- no capacity franean-and bind the Bulgari- Now we are in the fourth Poland and the Baltic States, to withstand a Russian attack ans to his chariot wheels. month. Once again the mood his attack on Finland and the in the far north. But Sweden A Balkan adventure would is different. We have seen war threats he hurls at Rumania would almost certainly regard a have many advantages for Sta- Finland, while leaving France Joseph, Leader of Nations, is the Scandinavian peninsula as a oilfields his own do not supply burn up Poland, and sweep into may simply mean that Father woop by the Red Army Into lin. Control of the Rumanian and Britain strangely untouched. determined to win back the danger she would be compelled enough for his needs.

So we say to our-friends. "Is military outposts which the to resist..

would be flouted." And, by a Czars held on their western Sweden, with an army that nice malicious irony, Germany frontier. When he has taken can be raised to half a million would become more than ever MOST people think it Bessarabia and the Finnish well-equipped men, with a self-dependent on the good graces of

will. The that, somehow or other-nobody content.

belief bases that he covets, he may be contained arms industry and a Moscow.

small but efficient fleet, is not But, if Stalin has to think of, quite knew how-the armies! the outbreak of war the benefits would be disbanded and the can-may not only want the Czarist

But who knows?-Stalin an adversary to be despised. Britain in the North Scu, he must consider Italy In the 'Balkans. Mus- have already been reaped in a non would trundle back to the bases. He may also be bitten tov agreement leaves Sweden vention

Maybe the Ribbentrop-Molo-solint might meet a Russian inter- in the Balkans by the notable degree, notwithstanding gun pork and peace would with the Czarist ambitions. If within the German orbit at methods he used in Spain. Without

come again to gladden the hearts o, we know what he is after. the moment, the Germans are tallon legionaries, airplanes some minor difficulties such as of men-all that optimistic feel- It is all in the history books:-doing everything possible to munitions to oppose the Russians,

declaring war, he might despatch the temporary shortúge in feed- ing has vanished.

In its place there reigns a Norwegian const, us far south to the aid of the Finns. And A warm-water port on the frighten the Swedes from going ing stuffs for pigs and poultry,

deep fatalism. The war will and the time has come when spread and spread, like an

as possible..

a Russian descent on Norway does Hitler see be still further en-epidemic, engulfing one peaceful

Domination of the Balkans. they can

might synchronise with a Ger- him? So if Stalin is to be the war-man invasion of southern Sweden? The possibility of snatch- ing the rich ore fields. On the other

Since

hanced by the suitable adjust land after another, until finally spreader, we may expect de-'Sweden.

War

GRIN AND BEAR IT nightmare

Was

the whole Continent, maybe the ment of measures already in whele hemisphere, is writhing! being. A large number of such in a confused and horrible me-

the adjustments, individually small lee. That is

which haunts us. but cumulatively important, is

The vanished optimism contained in the Agriculture stupid. But it does not mean (Miscellaneous

Provi-that the new pessimism must be

accepted without question. Hionн) Bill.

There have been wars in Typical of the new proposals Europe which did not spread. are the removal of the acreage The Franco-Prussian war. The a localised or quantitative limita on which Crimean war was

struggle. When a man of Na- the subsidies in the case of oats polcon's stature arises, however, and barley, and the deficiency all Europe goes up like tinder. payments in the case of wheat, Ah, say the pessimists, and have hitherto been payable; the isn't that just the situation we increase in the guaranteed price have to-day? In fact, we have for whent; the extension of the two Napoleons, one in Berlin subsidy to rye, a crop now al- and the other in Moscow, each most extinct in this country working in collaboration with but useful because it will grow the other.

on lighter soils than the other cercals; and the easing of the

conditions of eligibility for the any now principle established, ploughing-up subsidy. Further but their aggregate contribution important clauses confer addi- towards the enhancement of tional powers on catchment home food production is likely boards and County Councils in to be substantial. One of the order to facilitate the initiation objects which Sir Reginald. and execution of much needed Dorman-Smith has constantly land drainage works and also in vlow is to meet the neces provide Exchequer grants to-sities of war without exposing wards, the cost. There is an agriculture, to a recurrence of other clause permitting the the disastrous slump of the Minister to extend: eredita to years after 1919; and it is not small farmers, who, for various unreasonable to hope that he is reasons, may be unable to ob- creating the basis of a prosperi tain them through the ordinary] ty which will endure channels.

manently in the ultimato In none of these measures is' transition from war to peace.

por

and

WHAT of the uther Napo-

leon? What opportuniiles As he looks round

hand, the danger that British bembers, establishing themselves | swiftly In Swedish bases, could ships that bring him valuable cargoes across that sen.

By Lichty threaten his Baltic ports and the

"You musta boon dreamin' somebody was, proposing to you, Maxing—you kept yoiling yes', for ton minutes!"

Denmark? Easy game. A neat rounding off of his northern frontiers. Before 1914, German generals were dissuaded from the seizure of the Danish pastures only because Britain and Russia would have united to re- sist it. And now Britain and Russia are divided,

Or Hitler might content himself by scizing the Danish Island of Bornholm or the Swedish island of Gotland. Look at your Map and seo how these islands would strengthen Germany's Baltic position against Russia.

On the ather hand, Baltic con- quests will not win Hiller's war for him. If he is going to extend the war, he will do so with the object of destroying Britain. An attack on Holland seems the most promising way, of achieving this purpose.

B

He was ready to do the job on November 11. At the last minute he cancelled the trip. Why! Was fear of the shock to American opinion? Or did the generala ad- · vise him that, on balance, there was more to lose than to gain:

The reasons must have been big and solid. And if they were good on November 11 they may still be good.

THE Low

Countries, the Balkans, and Scandinavia. If the war spreads, those are the Hikely directions of its advance. Note this, though: in not one of them would all the advantage go to the aggressor or his accomplice.

One must admit that the clouds hang low over those regions. But ane should not assume that the storm will break.