1939-05-25 — Page 30

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THE HONGKONg Telegraphi, Thursday, May 25, 1'989.

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General Elections

THESE RUMOURS of a general

election at Home are no idle talk. The two teams, for and against, face each other but the referee has not given the signst.

Who is the referee? Mr. Chamberlain, and bo hns not spoken yot. He will deckle, for he is the man who will know best when the circumstances are most propitious for a Tory victory.

An immediate election is bound Interna- to be tied up with the tional situation, and Mr. Chamber- lain knows that situation better than anyone else.

Now consider the arguments. First, those put about by the people who want an election soon.

For them, this is the Govern ment's... moment_of_opportunity to fight on their home ground. In- ternationally, the war in Spain is over, and that, however much we detest the signiflesneo of a Franco

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Premier's unbending policy of non-intervention,

Meanwhile, Britain's defences grow impressively strong, and the voice of our Motherland can again be heard in the world,

We have taken a stand against aggression, and made popular alliances with countries whom wo have sword to protect.

There are others who are moro cautious. They argue it would be foolish to rush England into a general election now,

They ask on what point would an election centre, and in raply Hay the international scene, Mr. Chamberlain's past

In record particular. And that meats on the policy of the Totalitarian

Labour would

Jepp states.

From

THE WOLVES: "See, they are trying to encircle us!”

If the Axis understands this,

it means Peace

A

LL the face of Euro- pean politics

has

by

fold. First, that the accumulating evidence of a strong isolationist trend in Russian policy was re-

changed in these past W. N. EWER Hable and that the Soviet Union

wocks. Whether

makes a European war less or more probable is not an easy thing to judge,

For very largely that must depend on the two Dictators; on whether they appreciate the change: on whether they revise their calculations accord- Ingly.

So far their, policy has been based on quite simple reckonings."

There were certain matters over which none of the other three European Great Powers (Britain, France, Russia) would, when it came to the point, be ready to face the abomination of a major war; or, at any rate, over which no two of them would be ready at the same time.

Therefore, in Any of these matters either Fascist Power could do pretty much as it chose with- out serious risk. The only realst- ance to be overcome would be that

of a minor Power-such as Austria or Albania,

And, in fact, if the odds were made obvious and overwhelming, there would probably be no resist- ance at all.

They borrowed and used the maxim of Marshal Lyautey, the Fronch conqueror of Morocco-an overwhelming display of forco makes the use of force unnecessary. Czecho-Slovakia, faced by the whole might of the German Army, simply must give way. Albania, defenceless against the Italian Air Force, must surrender. come

Even if they restated, the "operation" would be a comparatively minor

"MASTERY OF THE AIR" showers of well-merited criticism

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and another stirring up of Inter- national dissension.

Their second argument is also a powerful one. Mr. Chamberlain's polley did not prove at all popular when three bye-elections wore held inst week. One seat swung lo Labour and Lite Government's majority in the other two was badly reduced.

- Their last argument recalls Napoleon's description of English- men as a nation of shopkeepers, for it turns on trude.

What a country struggling on the upswing of trade needs, they say, is Internal peace, free from the alarms, dislocations, and uncertainties of a general election.

So hold your hand, they say, and if you must have a gonerat election, well, leave it until early next year. That is the sense of the arguments

on, both sides. Only one thing romains: Whatever Mr. Chamberlain decides, he cannot prolong a general election bayond July next year, when the life of the present Parliament. constitutionally axpire

one.

The Abyssinian experience showed that the machinery of col- lective security would not work. The will work it was not there. The League, as an instrument for resisting aggression, died on the day that sanctions wore lifted.

From then on it was plain that any great Power in Europe could do anything it chose to any small Power provided that no other great Power would feel bound, in its opn interests, to interfere with arms and rendiness to use them.

Now Herr Hitior could feel reasonably confident that, in this he.could count on a free respect, he

1 in Central Europe. hand Ho

knew, despito occasional guarded declarations (knew, In- deed, from the very fact that they were so carefully guarded) that the Dritish Government, and a very large and influential part of the

British people, did not regard any change in Central Europe as directly affouling British interests. That had been so for centuries

paste

:It- was: practically certain that -Great-Britain would-not-deliber-

ately decide on war for anything or anybody in the centre of the Continent.

Secondly, he knew that so long

as his objectives seemed to be conûned to "revision" of features of the Versailles settlement, which large sections of British ópinion regarded as unwise or unjust, there' would be little desire to interfere.

Thirdly, he knew that British armaments were in a condition which made it very improbable that a British Government would risk war.

So if he concentrated his activi- ties on the little countries to the east of Germany, he could count with reasonable certainty on meet- ing with no opposition from England that would involve war.

And if England were unwilling, France, he could be sure, would not face a German war without her Nor. Indeed, was France likely to be precisely enthusiastic about plunging into war on a mid-European Insuc.

The Fronch, indeed, had their alliances; but Franco had always thought rather of the Poles and the Czechs as her allies in a Franco-German conflict, than of herself as bound to march to their assistance.

Still, there were-the-alliances. And because of them Hitler moved warlly and cleverly. Ho tried (not unsuccessfully) to shake the Franco-Polish alliance by separate dealings with the Poles,

It was not until Czecho-Slovakia had passed out of the French into the German orbit and the alliance had become a dead letter that he passed to the anal dismember- ment and conquest of that un- happy country. By taking two bites at the Czech cherry he made sure of French neutrality;

Lastly, there was Russia to be ⚫ considered,

Britain and France might shrink from Aghting to prevent German expansion eastward, might even feel relieved that the pressure was bong directed East instead of

But would not Russia-the other Faste Power-feel compelled to check the initial'stages of a drive which, continued, must threaten her own borders: of which, indeed. thu Ukraine was one of the avowed objectives?

Here the calculation was three-

To-day's Thought THAT should be considered

Jono Frohich can be de clded dut bicETTA MY

---PUDLILIUS SYNUB. (Famous Roman: wit she was unpe a slave).

intended

defond its to

own frontiers but not to let itself bo drawn into war unless they were actually violated.

Second, that the condition of the Soviet Army and Air Force was Such

that. though immensoly strong for defence, they were not capable of a large-scale offenalye boyond their own borders.

Third, that anti-Russian and anti-Bolshevik feeling in the East European Stater was so strong they would bo loth to see the Red Army in their territory even as an ally,

So, by and large, Horr Hitler was able to calculate with fair certainty that he could go adven- turing in Austria and Czecho- Slovakia and Memel without very serious danger of European war.

The calculations then were sound enough. But thoy дго по longer sound. A change has come over the scene which makes them no longer valid.-

First, it has at last been borno In on the minds of British and French statesmen that the "Axis Powers" are in quest of no limited. objectives, but are aiming at nothing less than the domination of the whole Continent and of its вспя.

Secondly, they have been forced to realise that no reliance can be placed on thoir nazurances or on any arrangements made with them: that, like the “Tories" in the 17th century, opigram, they “know no argument but force."

Thirdly, their activities are now bringing

them

very near to threatening areas which have always been, and must always be. regarded as areas of vital concern the British and French Empires. Fourthly, the rapid pace of

to

British

the

and French rearmament has already changed the balance of military power. It is now the considered and

very confident judgment of those who know best of the British. Condition French, German and Italian forces and "war-potentials " that though war would undoubtedly be a very horriblo business. АП Anglo- French victory within fairly short, time would be a foregone con- clusion,

So that whereas until now Herr Hitler and Signor Mussolini have been able to reckon with reason- able sureness......... on: committing. aggressions without danger of major war, they are how very near to, or actually at the point at which now aggression means not ---only danger, but something very. near certainty of a major war in they would be decisively

If they draw, arid act on; the scrsible conclusion, then· ·Europe will find peace, arkini. IL. not -then-i-

The most beautiful will in the world

"All This I Leave To You"

LONE, a man died in

a

A workhouse, and this will

was found in the pocket of his ragged suit. By worldly stan- dards he was poor, but when you have absorbed the exquisite beauty of his words and benefit- ed from his deep and peaceful philosophy, you too, will realise just how rich this poor man really was.

CHARLES LOUNSBERRY, being of sound and disposing mind and memory, do hereby make and publish this

my last will and testament in order to distribute my interest-in-the-world-among- succeeding men.

That

part of my interest which tak known in law as my property, being inconsiderable and of no account, I make no disposition of. My right to live, being but a life estate, is not at my disposal, but, these things excepted, all else in the world I now proceed to devise and bequeath.

Item: I give to good fathers and mothers, in trust for their child- ren, all good little words of praise and encouragement, and all quaint pet names and endearments; and I charge sald parents to use them Justly, but generously as the deeds. of their children shall require, Item:

I leave to children Inciu- sively but only for the term of their childhood, all and CVCTY flower of the field and the blas- soms of the woods, with the right. to play among them freely accord- Ing to the custom of children, warning them at the same time. against thistles and thorns And I devise to children the banks

of the brooks and the golden sands. beneath the waters thereof, and the odours of the billoinsTM-that- dip therein, and the white clouds that float high over giant frees. And I leave the children the long, long days to be merry in, in a thousand ways, and the night and. the train of the Milky Way to- wonder at, but subject, neverthe- less, to the rights hereinafter given. to lovers.

Item: 1 devise to boys, jointly, all

tho'useful idle fields and commons. where ball may be played, all pleasant waters where one may swim, all snow-clnd hills where one may coast, and streams. und ponds where one may fish, or 'where, when grim winter comes, one may skate, to hold the same for the period of their boyhood. And all meadows, with the _clover-

blossoms and butterfiles thereof; the woods with their beauty; the squirrels and the birds and the echoes and strange noises, and all distant places, which may be pfalt- ed, together with the adventures- there found.

And I give to mid boys each bla own.

place at the fireside at night, with all pictures that may be seen in the burning wood, to enjoy with. out let or hindrance or without _any_encumbrance of care. Item: To lovers, I devise their

Imaginary world, with--whatever-s they may need; as the stars of the sky, the red roses by the wall, the bloom of the hawthom, the sweet strains of music, "and" "aught (else they may desire to figuro to each other the lastingness, and beauty of their love, you j Item: To young men jointly I be | queath all the boisterous, inspiringTM

sports of rivalry, and I give ~~~ PLEASE Tam-To-Face 75

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