1936-03-23 — Page 18

THE HONGKONG TELEGRAPH, MONDAY, MARCH 23, 1986.

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The

Hongkong Telegraph.

MONDAY, MAR. 23, 1936.

rain at many western states amounting to hundreds of inches.

The dry cycle was maintained throughout a considerable por- tion of the past year, and it was not until the end of August that the dry mood was finally broken.

WHY THESE

STILLS FROM WALT DISNEY'S SILLY SYMPHONY "NOAH'S ARK "

Observations show that the eleven years' sun-spot cycles has.

FLOODS?

By

John

Robinson

WELL-KNOWN

WEATHER EXPERT

to anti-cyclonie conditions, which means calm, dry and foggy weather in winter (some-

NOTES OF THE DAY periods of minimum sun-spot pressure over the continents frost), while in summer the

#

record. Rain rain system

do untold damage."

A study of world-wide weather records back to the middle of the eighteenth century THE 35 years' cycle is parti

cularly noticeable in con- shows that weather's greatest freaks of heat and cold, drought nection with rainfall. Not only have direct observations been THE WRONG SPIRIT and food, have run in cycles, used in determining the exis- These cycles can be traced over

tence of this cycle, but such As might have been expected, periods of 26.7 days, correspon- indirect data as the dates of the German reaction to the

ing to

the sun's rotation-

proposals advanced

seven years, corresponding to harvests, the height of inclosed by the the mutation period: 11 years, lakes, and even the annual Locarno Powera, aiming at a associated with the maximum growth in very old trees have lusting

been used. settlement of the and minimum frequency of aun- European problem, are anything spots, and, 35 years the well- but cordial.'

It is, indeed, known Bruckner cycle of wet

a great influence on the world's and, dry periods. difficult for the impartial obser-

weather. We and that the ver to avoid a, feeling of dis-

driest and most brilliant appointment at the manner in

weather has always occurred at to raise the normal baroinetric times associated with intense which the situation has been

activity-the summers of 1911, and lower it over the water friendly anti-cyclone brings the and high approached. Whatever the

1921 and 1932 are 'stances in areas, especially in the region brilliant sunshine juridical aspects of German | POULTRY FARMING.

the present century, while some of Iceland, which is the world's temperatures.

In Great Britain the normal denunciation of the Locarno

During the past ten years the of the greatest floods on record greatest storm zone.

of During the great British sequence of anti-cyclones and Pact may be, the outstanding output of British table poultry and came when large groups fact is that Germany has put eggs has almost doubled; the sun-spots crossed the sun's sur- floods in 1903--one of the wet-rain-bearing depressions are so balanced that people there do test years on record the

not experience any one type forward very definite and, com- annual value of the produce of the face.

poultry farms in England and Not only in the East, but in number of Atlantic disturbances prehensive suggestions for the Wales for 1934 being £21,250,000. places as far apart as India and which crossed the British Isles sufficiently long to suffer either from devastating drought or liquidation of the

almost general in 1924 the production of eggs was Sweden, Africa and the United was

persistent vooding. situation, and it

on 4,883,000,000; it is now 3,752,000 States, Britain and Australia, system after is

Not so, however, in the con- these that

UUD. Last year the Reorganisa- observations have proved be followed with almost clockwork the Powers

tinents of America and Aus- tion Commission on Eggs and yond doubt that rainfall and regularity, piling up London's tralia, where such phenomena should have chiefly.concentrated. Poultry published a report propos

rainfall to 36. inches. Instead of that, they have ad- ing the centralisation of distribusun-spots are closely related.--

Contrast this It certainly seems to be more vanced proposals which they the fixing of a national price for tion through packing-stations and

Chan coinvidence that the pre- drought year of 1921 must have known, from their eggs. The important question of sent abnormally heavy rainfalls depressions were few and far contact with the German delega- competing imports, which repre- in the United States and those between) and London's total tions, would have been

elusive periods of continued wet sent about one-third of tota, recently in Britain have been rainfall amounted to only 12.5 cause of weather "moods those

inches.

and dry weather which seem to acceptable. So much is apparent supplies, was not dealt with in associated with intense sun-spot

Whenever the British Isles that report, and consequently activity. from the fact that, immediately poultry keepers eagerly awaited

are invaded by a succession of go on for indefinite periods. It is a little known fact that the Berlin's reaction became evident, the Commission's further recom-

low-pressure systems from the RECENT meteorological obser- Atlantic, the rainfall goes up by continues, the longer it is likely longer certain type of weather it was announced that the mendations. These

been published in a supplementary vations taken in America leaps and bounds. In most

to go on-within reasonable proposed reference of the report. The new recommendations have led to the theory cases, a prolonged series of At- mits. Franco-Soviet Pact to the Hague include an increase of sixpence per that the effect of sunspota lantic disturbances are followed

the earth's weather

is by a sudden and abrupt change Court was not an indispensable 120 on the existing duties upon on

foreign eggs; a new duty, equal to condition of the negotiations this increase, on Empire egga; for`a Rhineland settlement, and financial assistance to the home. that German objections to a egg industry from the duties on unilateral zone might be met by eggs and egg products; and the establishment of a Co-ordinating the putting forward of an Committee which the various ogg alternative proposal. The more and poultry marketing boards the position is studied, the would be required to consult. The total amount of the duties, allow- clearer does it become that there Ing for a decrease of twenty per has been concentration on "face-cent in Imports, would be about saving" expedients, to the de- £1,860,000, and it is suggested that triment of a sensible solution of a quarter of this aum should be allocated to a fund, for the further the whole problem. In particu- development of the poultry indus- lar, the insistence on a neutral try. The control of imports has zono does seem unwise when been considered a necessary step In the improvement of marketing analysed. It is suggested that conditions owing to the large part measures of this kind are needed which Imports play in the poultry to preserve confidence during | Industry.

un-

the period of negotiation on: a

have

long-range policy, but the occur in any event. In these ordinary man will have difficulty circumstances, the zone proposal in porceiving the value of this could hardly be regarded by method of approach to the pro- Germany as anything other than blem. The underlying assump-part of a pin-pricking policy. tion is that German bona fides There is clearly only one way of are in question-that there is a dealing with the altuation, danger of German aggression namely, acceptance of the posi- whilst efforts are being made to tion

as it is to-day, and the reach a general settlement. A taking of immediate. steps moment's thought however, to negotiate on the basis or the should be sufficient to demons German proposals. Nothing is trato two points first, that to be gained indeed, much German re-occupation of the harm may be done by the pre- Rhineland does not constitute servation of what the Germans any real danger, in view of the describe as the spirit of "the existence of France's elaborate accursed days of Versailles." system of frontier, fortifications; There was, never a greater op- and, secondly, that the small portunity than there la to-day International-force which it was of working out a comprehensive intended should police the zone scheme, for the appeasement of could not hope to be of real the European situation. If it is value in an emergency, which, lost by bungling at this junc It is safe to assume, would not ture, it may never recur again.

*

*

.with

the (when

SIDE GLANCES By George Clark |

We can't possibly stay another week. I've already worn every:

thing I have at least twice.".

*

*

*

late years much study has

been devoted to the probable

After we have experienced a run of five or six completely dry days, the odds are in the region. of five to one that the fine weather will not break down on the sixth or seventh days, and If the dry spell has continued for 15 days, the chances are nearly 20 to 1 that rain will not occur on the sixteenth day. Much the sama thing applies to wet weather. After a week of persistent heavy downpours, we Imagine that fine, settled weather must be very near at hand. Actually, however, the odds are heavily against a dry 24-hour period on the eighth day..

This tendency to the persist- ence of any weather mood or type can be traced back to the earliest records. Sometimes a particularly wet mood-such as the present goes on for several consecutive weeks, almost, every day providing measurable rain- fall. Sometimes this tendency to peralatence of type affects one particular part of the coun-- try, resulting in twice the nor mal rainfall in that particular area, while other parts. ex- perience normal rainfall,, even a sub-normal allowance.

*

or

THERE is no scientific reason to account for these peculiar weather moods. At the present time most of the United States. is experiencing the wettest phase in recent history. Rain has fallen on every day this month, "friend" said on Sunday that Ban Praticisco haa had six weeks Incessant raintfalt and there ap- pears to be no end to the long. chain of disturbances,