1935-11-13 — Page 6

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TELEGRAPH. WEDNESDAY,

NOTES OF THE DAY

MUDDLE IN CHINA

There is no adjective, or set of adjectives, which cau adequately describe the politico-economie con- dition of affairs in China to-day. What we mean is, that there is prob ably no living man with sufficient knowledge of the situation to give a clear description of what is North and developing between

NOVEMBER 13, 1935.

。

GENERAL

ELECTIONS

TO-MORROW

WHY I WELCOME

AN EARLY ELECTION

T7HEN the House of Com...__

mons adjourned at the end of July, the prospect of an election some time this autumn what

or winter seemed probable en-, ough.

South, what the Japanese intend In Topol, Shansi, Charhar: Shantung. and elsewhere, what Nanking is going to do with her currency re- forms and how the Government will до about nationalisation, Britain has promised China in the way of assistance, and what Britain and Japan, respectively, think of one another. All that we can say, by way of comment is that never confused. a situation more But at the same time we can be weghy they equally positive when we say that

Wha

It was not a prospect cal- culated to arouse any very great excitement. The main issues over which it would be fought seemed clearly indicated. On

By the

Rt. Hon.

L. S.

the one hand the substantial re- Amery

cord

of the Government's

be, are all of outstanding Import-achievement, in the economle

ance and each can have a tremend-field: the restoration of our Lure of European pence, As

on

renched. The discussion sanctions will still be going on. The ineffectiveness of those that have been imposed will become more and more evident. The clamour for more effective sanc- tions, sanctions involving direct interference with Italy and con- stituting acts of war, will grow louder.

The public, on the other hand, will begin to realise more and more that there is a real danger of our being dragged into a world-wide conflagration. What

election?

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ANNOUNCEMENT.

dous bearing upon the future of of other nations with interests in the Far East. It is not too much, to say that at this moment Italy's painful little operation upon the ahuddering state of Ethiopia is pushed into the background by developments in China. One climax follows another with such rapidity as to bewilder completely the ob- server of ordinary intelligence who

ments.

CRISES EVERYWHERE

Budgets; the million additional workers in employment thanks to the tariff and to Ottawa; the million houses built-all this an carnest of more good work to come and in contrast to the proved failure of Socialism in the past.

attempts to keep up with develop ON the other hand, Socialism would make play with the fact that nearly two millions are still unemployed and that, large areas of the country are no better off than they were, the with the unpopularity of means test, with their general criticism of the "capitalist sys- tem," and, last but not least, with the Government's failure to bring about disarmament and with the inevitable increase in our defence expenditure.

The first crisis came with the de- claration of the Nanking Govern- ment that it would nationalise its

was

silver. The exchange market was The Marriage of Mr. Aubrey Ching most moved by that announcement, and Mika May Lee will take place and the anticipation of it. But on at the St. Paul's Church, Hong- top of it came the allegations from kong, on the 27th November, at 3 Tokyo that Great Britain p.m. Ne invitations are being playing a deep game with Nanking Issued, but all friends are cor- and that British money was behind dially invited to the ceremony the Chinese monetary moves. and afterwards to the reception Public opinion generally felt a re- which will be held at the Glou-action to this assertion and the

center Hotel, Roof Garden.

BIRTH.

WALSH-At the Victoria Hospital to Mr. and Mrs. J. J. Walsh, on November 12, a son. Both doing

well.

The

Hongkong Telegraph.

WEDNESDAY, Nov. 13, 1935.

JAPAN'S LOAN. ATTITUDE

dental from Great Britain, while it I was immediate, has not entirely dispelled the suspicion In the Japan ese mind. That is net exactly polite on Japan's part. Meanwhile, because Japan ao strongly objects to the Chinese monetary reforms, and has expressed remonstrances;

the United States has taken a hand in the business. Washington newe- papers are loud and outspoken in

The result, too, seemed one that could be predicted with reasonable confidence: a swing back to Socialism in many of the big cfties and over a great area in the, industrial North, sufficient to recapture most of the traditionally Liberal seats, but not enough to prevent the Government being returned with a good working

majority.

Labour

or

The Liberals, as such, would their criticism. They are more almost disappear. The Lloyd embittered by the fact that a see-George excursion, with its curl tion of Japanese opinion is seizing

ous blend of reflation by borrow upon recent incidents in Shanghai ing and Nonconformist pacifism, to claim provocation on the part of did not seem likely seriously to China. But all of these develop modify the general conclusion. ments, and they are disturbing, enough in the mass, are trivial com.

pared to the prediction from well- informed sources that Japan. Is

in

assisting in the formation of a new system of autonomous states Japan's discomfiture over North China, the, first to include Nanking's currency reform Hopei and Charhar, with Shantung, measures has taken the surpris-Sans-and-Suyuan-joining-later ing turn of refusal to participate

in any international loan to GROUNDS FOR SUSPICION China. The suspicion has been strongly voiced in Tokyo that Britain is at the back of the

If Japan is suspicious of Britain's interest in China's monetary af fairs, how much more reasonable

*

*

#

A restored co-operation, and German domination; whether it may land us in yet another. "war to end war," with several more and yet bigger wars to end war in the offing-all that is another question.

has undoubtedly proved, for As a policy for the election it all who are not absolutely blind, the grave inadequacy of our de- fences, whethor our policy be that of protecting our own in- terests or of carrying out the behests of the League. It has also exposed the folly of So- cialist leaders who now clamour for war after having done all-in their power to make sure of defeat.

What, however, will be the reaction of the nation to the Government's policy and to the critical international situation which that policy has brought about? For it is after all the nation that decides not merely for or against the election issue presented by the Government, but what the issue is going to

be.

On that point I can only give my personal opinion for what it is worth. I believe that a great majority of the nation are de termined to support the streng thening of our defences. I be lieve that a still greater major ity are determined that we ought not to drift into a Euro- pean war over Abyssinia. How will these two determinations affect the election?

The answer, to my mind, de- pends entirely on the situation at Geneva a month hence. If by then Italy has climbed down, or if, on the other hand, it has been proved beyond doubt that the members of the League are not prepared to support any sanctions that can possibly stop Italy, all will be plain sailing for the Government.

BUT this humdrum prospect has now been rendered in- finitely more interesting, and at the same time more confusing by the Abyssinian crisis. The Government's election policy on that issue has been dominated by one consideration. Impress ed by the strength of the pacifist vote they have been convinced that they could not carry the de- mand for effective rearmament without having first proved be- yond all question their devotion IN the one case the Government to the League as a body capable of preventing war by punishing the aggressor.

Lam dealing with their policy purely in its election aspect. Whether it was wise in itself or consistent with our past at

whether its success may involve of the collapse of the whole struc-

true, then Japan is either taking

currency decision, but it is now it be for the world to suspect Japan of some invisible motive in definitely stated in London that encouraging autonomy of the North Britain has neither instigated China provinces, even though Japan the reforms, nor in any way is only indirectly assisting in that endeavour? And although Japan helped to make them possible. will way that the Federation of What is more, it is categorically, Chinese States' will be under the denied that Britain has made direction of Nanking, who is to any proposals for a loan to believe that not only Japanese in-titude towards the literal execu- China, Presumably in con- fluence and money, but Japaneso tion of the Covenant; whether formity with the policy agreed troops and warships also are not it is likely to succeed or fail; to on the formation of the Con- behind the move? If this report sortium in 1920, there have been of a projected "Federation"

autonomous states in the North is tentative discussions regarding the granting of an international

planned course of action to resist loan, and surprise is now ex- wint she believes to be an attempt pressed in London that, at this on the part of Great Britain to juncture, Japan should intimate gain some sort of hold over Nan- her intention to take no part King, or else she is merely making therein. When the Consortium the rumour of British "cuper- was established, there was a fear further her own ends in East Asia.

Lion" with China that China might commit her- Whatever the case may be, and we self to innumerable privite do not pretend to know the truth of loan obligations, and Britain, it, it will bo long before the United States, France and atmosphere of tension and suspicion Japan agreed that they would becomes clarified and we can see combine in any further ad-hairs in China in an uncoloured vances made. China has never ght. Moreover, it is sure that as officially recognised the exis- og as this uncertainty remains, there is danger of national feeling of the Consortium;

running off the tracks, and causing

tence

novertheless, the policy which

an excuse

to

tlie

painful to those unfortunate enough to become involved.

its creation implied was endorsed an accident which will be extremely by the nations named. This very fact invests the Japanese withdrawal, now announced, with mystification and signi-wreck the scheme, in which flcance. The announcement is event China would appear to linked with the currency re-have three alternatives left- form issue and serves to em- [roversion to the silver standard, phasise Japan's objections devaluation, or definite linking thereto. In it, Japan professes with the, yen." The first-named concern lest China should come step would create a considerable. under foreign (obviously mean-, economic upheaval and would ing non-Japanese) control. But, run counter to Ching's recent in the event of a loan being policies; the second would not made to China, surely an inter- placate Japan; while the third national advance would 'obvinte might arouse opposition in other the possibility of any one nation quarters. The situation at the enjoying greater control than moment is confused and com- another. Or more immediate plichted. The only factor that importance than ariy loan at the stands out prominently is that moment is the question whether Japan is definitely against the China will be able to operate her scheme of currency roform re- new currency decree. It is felt cently initiated by the Chinese in some quarters that Japan can Government.

will have won a signal vic- tory for the "system of collec- tive security." In the other they will have proved that, in spite of all their efforts, that system has failed. In either case, the mouths of all their critics will be stopped-at any rate, for the moment.

What is much more likely, however, is that by then no such definite conclusion will have been

"Miss Perkins, will you look through these birthday gifts from. my grandchildren and acknowledge same with notes express-

ing my sincerest appreciation ?"

*

*

the

THE Socialists, except

handful who follow. Mr. Lansbury or Sir Stafford Cripps, will stand inevitably committed to calling for more sanctions at all costs. Conservatives

a course, and every day of the election will drive them more and more in the opposite direc tion..

instinet hesitate to fole will by

It is impossible at an election for the ordinary candidate to cyade direct questions. If the you advocate question is "do sanctions which are likely to lead to war?" I venture to say that the more unqualified the candidate's "no," and the less he beats about the bush with re- ferences to "isolated action" the more certain will he be of sup- port.

For my part, at any rate, I shall not wait for questions but make my opposition to war sanc- tlons clear beyond all doubt in my election address.

That the result of an election fought under these circum- stances will be a Conservative majority I have no doubt.

But I believe it will be a majority with a very definite mandate, not for intensifying the international crisis, but for putting the brake on Mr. Eden's activities at Genova and getting out of the present entanglement

And that Is · as best we can. why I welcome an early elec- tion.

The Very Idea!

SOME POSTSCRIPTS

Including a Conversation With the Awful Child

Reported by Ed. Kelly The Awful Child "Daddy, why did the Government put an embargo on aliver7"

"That's to stop the money from going out of Hongkong, my child."

"But why do they want to stop the.. money from going away, daddy?"

"Well, son, it's the same as with Rover, our dog. When he went out had to chase him and bring him back on the footpath this afternoon, daddy

and tie him up. If daddy hadn't put an embargo on Rover going away, bad man woull have come along and it would have cost daddy a lot of maney."

"And did putting the embargo un Ilover save you a lot of money, daddy?

"Yes, my child."

"That's funny, daddy. A. funny looking man asked me your name when you look Rover away. He sold that some nevor learn to tie up their dogs until they've been caught where it hurts them mosi,"

Aco High

"Let's play poker-Ethiopian style."

"Ethiopian style? What's that?" "Duce is wild!"

Naxi Man

Two men were walking down a Berlin street when che remarked to the other, "It's a terrible Govern- ment!"

A Nazl policeman heard and barked, “You're under arrest!”

"Under arrest-whatever for? We were talking about the Abys- ainian 'Government.”

The policeman laughed and sald:, "Huh! You can't hoodwink me. There's only one terrible Govern- ment!"

Autumn

"I told my wife she needed n now hat yesterday." +

Good

"You told her that? gracious! What did she say?"

“Sho-sald, 'You sit down quietly, dear, while Iphone for Dr. Smalley,