CONFIDENTIAL
5 I believe, therefore, that at the final meeting I shall have
with the Chinese on Friday 26 November I should indicate to Li
Peng that we would be willing to offer a final concession on
credit on condition that he was prepared to agree that the
contract for the conventional island should be awarded to GEC.
My officials have discussed with the Treasury and ECGD two
possible alternatives. The first is the granting of full
capitalisation of interest without strings instead of the
concession we have already made on the financing of local costs.
The alternative is the full capitalisation of interest in
additon to the local costs support. Treasury and ECGD would be
prepared to recommend the first but not the second.
Whilst the
first would undoubtedly be helpful I feel that it would be
worthwhile going for the second if we were able to clinch the
deal. I attach at Annex A a short schedule which shows the cost
and level of subsidy for these two options compared with the
offer we have already made. The discount rate used is the
current long-term dollar bond rate of 11.6% since the financing
is likely to be in dollars.
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6 There is clearly a risk that the French will again match our
credit package, but I am convinced that we should make this
improved offer in a final attempt to secure the conventional
island for the UK, and at the same time to give Li Peng a
concession, beyond what was offered by my officials in Guangdong
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