TNAG-2977-FCO40-1469-Economic-policy-in-Hong-Kong-1982 — Page 86

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

G.F. 326

CONFIDENTIAL # &

6

downward pressure on the exchange value of the Hong Kong

dollar, in practice any downward pressure

to be significant because the switch in

their deposits does not necessarily

make a corresponding

institutions

to

currency of their lending.

seems unlikely

the currency of

induce financial

switch in the

12.

dollar

The differential between US dollar and Hong Kong

interest rates has been widening recently.

Although US dollar interest rates have been falling, Hong

Kong dollar rates have been falling even faster.

Earlier

interest rates

though playing

an

were causing

difficulties

to

this year high

anti-inflationary role

various sectors of our economy.

falls.

I recognise, however,

still high in both real and

Thus I welcome the recent

that interest rates are

nominal terms relative to

As three years.

their levels prior to the past two or

a

result and although the relief is welcome many individuals

and businesses are still under pressure.

13.

interest

The

property market

has rates

had a

is one area in which high

marked dampening effect on

of high rates, consequence a

a stagnant

new

activity. As

export performance and an abundant supply of land and

property on the market, prices and rentals have generally

been falling throughout this year,

signs of levelling off. This is arguably a satisfactory

though there

are

now

state of affairs from

view the point of

of potential

owners

or

tenants

of

property,

and it

contributes

to

CONFIDENTIAL #

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