TNAG-2792-FCO40-4031-Relations-between-Hong-Kong-and-China-1993 — Page 64

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

GF 323

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(10)

But

more

strong upsurge in

investment demand,

importantly,

it

was fuelled by the

China's domestic

demand, particularly

which in turn was being accommodated by

the loose monetary and credit conditions prevailing up to the middle of the year(11).

9.

(c) External sector

According to its own customs statistics, China's

visible trade amounted to US$77.9 billion in the first half

of 1993, representing an increase of 13.3% in US dollar

terms over a year earlier.

Exports were up by 4.4% to

US$37.2 billion. Imports were up much more, by 23.2% to

as the buoyant demand within China's

lift imports as well as divert

US$40.7 billion,

economy

continued

to

(10)

According

to

two-thirds of

an estimate from Chinese sources, about the price increases in China in 1992 were due to price decontrol measures implemented during that year.

This proportion might well be smaller in the first half of 1993 than in 1992, given that the more recent upsurge in inflation was due primarily to buoyant domestic demand, as the main demand indicators clearly showed.

to

The Chinese government's intention, as reported in the press, is

complete the process of price restructuring within the next five

years. As a further step in this direction, price controls in Beijing on grain, edible oil, soy sauce, vinegar and fresh milk were lifted in May. Other major cities This put an end to the use of food ration coupons which had been maintained since the 1950s.

followed suit.

However, faced with the sharp rise in retail prices during the second quarter, in early July the Chinese government decided to suspend the programme for further price liberalisation tentatively for six

months.

(11)

Earlier in the year, the Chinese government estimated that total bank loans in 1993 would increase by more than 20% over 1992. The corresponding increase in It was reported that credit expansion was already beyond the annual target for 1993 by May or June.

1992

was

19.6%.

CONFIDENTIAL

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