TNAG-2792-FCO40-4031-Relations-between-Hong-Kong-and-China-1993 — Page 56

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

GF 323

CONFIDENTIAL

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(14)

drastic and more selective than those implemented in

the last retrenchment period in 1989-91, any of the

adverse impacts seems unlikely to be severe. Certain aspects of Hong Kong's trade and investment with China

could however be affected in due course.

China for

to

In

meeting its Own

particular, exports

demand could show slower growth. Investment in real

estate projects could be less. But outward processing activities, which are of primary importance to Hong

Kong's export sector, are unlikely

be dampened

(paragraph 36).

inflation.

This is

to

For the time being, China's inflation has not produced

much upward pressure on Hong Kong's consumer price largely due to the offsetting

effect of the weak Renminbi and, to a lesser extent,

also because of the declining importance of China as a retained imports

Hong

Kong's

supplier of

(paragraph 37).

(15)

A more sustainable, albeit

less relatively

rapid,

to

its

So long as China

economic growth in China is beneficial

development and well-being. continues with its open door policy and its economic reform and modernisation programmes, the longer term prospects for China's economy, as well as for the Hong Kong economy given their very close economic links,

should remain bright (paragraph 38).

CONFIDENTIAL

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