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in any case so vague when it comes down to practical detail, that anything we come up with could easily be dismissed by the Chinese as being inconsistent with the Basic Law (ie their
interpretation of it, which is the only one that counts if we
are to reach agreement with them). I therefore think we should
hold our fire and keep our helpful suggestions for amendment until we have reengaged in some form of consultation with the
Chinese. The best way of filtering these out would be through the process of discussion in LegCo. That way it would look much
less of a climbdown for the Governor. The Hong Kong
administration would need to keep a firm grip on both these
processes to ensure that in the end they meshed to produce a
solution with which both China and Hong Kong can live.
5.
There are two main arguments in favour of offering
amendment now:
i) that this would reduce the level of confrontation with the
Chinese and so dispose them to be more cooperative in agreeing
an outcome acceptable to us. I do not think the second follows
from the first;
ii) the presentation argument, that we would look as if we were
trying. I think this could backfire. We would still be likely
to end up bogged down in legal quibbling about consistency with
the Basic Law and the exchange of letters, without getting any nearer to our political goal, while Hong Kong and business opinion became increasingly fretful.
6.
If the foregoing is correct, none of the models set out in the ExCo paper meets present needs, but they offer useful material from which to construct a satisfactory outcome eventually. I agree that options A and D are preferable to the other two. It is possible that some of the alternative proposals in the 'Compendium', which arrived from Hong Kong yesterday, may provide other useful ingredients.
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