TNAG-2709-FCO40-3915-House-of-Commons-Select-Committee-on-Foreign-Affairs-and-Par-1993 — Page 134

MY SECOND IPT: CONSTITUTIONAL DEVELOPMENT: VISIT OF DAME LYDIA DUNN AND MR ALLEN LEE: ASSESSMENT FOR THE PRIME MINISTER: TEXT

1. THERE WILL BE NO SUPPORT FROM A MAJORITY OF NON-GOVERNMENT MEMBERS OF EXCO.

THERE WILL BE NO SUPPORT FROM A MAJORITY OF LEGCO MEMBERS LEADING TO:-

2.

A.

8.

C.

D.

POSSIBILITY OF MEMBERS PUTTING THROUGH AMENDING LEGISLATION TO VARY THE NUMBERS AND COMPOSITION.

POSSIBILITY OF A MOTION OF CENSURE.

POSSIBILITY OF A MOTION REJECTING THE BASIC LAW.

POSSIBILITY OF A MOTION CALLING BRITAIN TO RENEGOTIATE THE SINO-BRITISH JOINT DECLARATION.

3. THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE ADMINISTRATION AND THE EXECUTIVE AND LEGISLATIVE COUNCILS WILL BE STRAINED. THE LATTER WILL GENERALLY BE UNCOOPERATIVE SEMI COLON DIFFICULT WITH PASSING OF BILLS AND APPROVAL OF FUNDS.

4. SOME MEMBERS MAY RESIGN.

SOME MEMBERS WILL CONDEMN THE BRITISH ADMINISTRATION IN HONG KONG, LONDON AND INTERNATIONALLY.

5.

6. PRESSURE GROUPS MAY APPEAL TO THE COURT OF HUMAN RIGHTS AND THE AMERICAN CONGRESS.

DEMONSTRATIONS AND SIT-INS IN HONG KONG WHICH MAY SPARK SOCIAL UNREST (HISTORY HAS SHOWN THAT INSTABILITY IN HONG KONG IS

7.

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