TNAG-2633-FCO40-3824-Future-of-Hong-Kong-nationality-British-Nationality-(Hong-K-1992 — Page 92

A. Formula

Trial Run

Distribution of quota among OGs in the GOC for the second phase

Quota for O6"x"

quota for 2nd phase x

+quota for 2nd phase x

Annex 2

(page 1)

Estimated no. of principal emigrants in OG"X" on Common date of 2nd phase Estimated total no. of principal emigrants in all OGS on common date of 2nd phase

Estimate no. of applicants in OG"X" in 2nd phase Estimate total no. of applicants in all OCs in 2nd phase

JUERMENT HOUSE HONG KONG.

where

(a) Estimated no. of emigrants in OG"x" on common date of 2nd phase = group size of OG"x" in 1993 x average annual emigration

rate of OG"x" in 1991-93 (i.e. 3 years preceding the common date as prescribed in the Order-in-Council)

(b) Average annual emigration rate of OG"x"

Sum of estimated no. of principal emigrants in OG"x" in 1991, 1992 & 1993

Sum of group size of all OS in 1991, 1992 & 1993

(c) Estimated no. of applicants in OG"x" in 2nd phase = group size of OG"x" in 1993 x application rate of OG "x" in 1st phase

and

(d) Application rate of OG"x" in 1st phase No. of applications in OG"x" in first mase

Group size of OG"x" in 1991 *

The 1991 population census figures instead of those for 1989 (reference year for the 1st phase) are used because they are

more accurate.

CONFIDENTIAL

26 NON 6A NOW

10:57

PG.31

22.