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(b)
political
revolution;
change in China on the scale of the Cultural
(c)
unpopular Government
measures, exacerbating
the
financial hardship of а large number of Hong Kong
people;
(d)
widespread disaffection within the Civil Service, in
particular the Police Force, leading to a breakdown of
administration;
(e)
further crude
response by Chinese security forces to
outbreaks of public disorder or anti-Government
sentiment in China.
Conclusions
19.
China
A destabilisation campaign in Hong Kong directed from
would be difficult to counter
as would
any
centrally-organised armed incursion.
However, we assess the
likelihood of these threats as very low. Peking is certain of
resuming sovereignty over Hong Kong in 1997 and has its gaze set firmly on the eventual recovery of Taiwan.
20.
consequent
The main threat to security lies in an escalation of
public feeling and
deterioration in public order
arising from an aspect of economic, social or political change
taking place in a climate of severe economic slump.
21.
Notwithstanding the increased incidence of high profile violent crime during the past year, public confidence in
the professional ability of the Police Force is high and we
believe that it remains well able to deal with any internal
The handover of responsibility for
smoothly and the
threat
to
policing
security.
the border has been accomplished
G.F. 316
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