TNAG-2508-FCO40-3655-Visit-by-Sir-Edward-Heath--former-UK-Prime-Minister--to-Chin-1992 — Page 27

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

cautious in the two years following Tiananmen. Recent months

have seen a return to the momentum of 1988.

9. Since 1991, the favourable investment environment originally confined to the SEZs has been spread to most areas of the

country, export subsidies have been removed, many factories have

been given greater control over their own affairs, a bankruptcy

law has been passed (although implementation has been limited),

and there have been pilot projects to pave the way for price,

housing and social security reform.

10. The Chinese economy has performed strongly over the past two

years. GNP grew 7% in 1991 and 10.6% in the first six months of

1992. Industrial performance improved all round, although the

major state-owned enterprises continue to be outperformed by

collective, individual or foreign-funded enterprises.

40%

Up to

of the Chinese economy is now reckoned to be outside the state

sector.

11. Foreign trade has also grown rapidly under the stimulus of

the reforms. In 1991, total foreign trade US$135.7 billion, up

nearly 18% on the previous year. Imports totalled US$63.8

billion, up 19.5%, and exports US$71.9 billion, up 16% leaving a

surplus of US$8.1 billion (Chinese figures). China's foreign

exchange reserves (not including gold) currently stand at

approximately US$41.9 billion, as against a total foreign debt of

US$52.5 billion. There is no foreseeable debt problem.

12. Over 10,000 new foreign investment projects were approved in

1991 with a total contracted investment value of US$11.1 billion.

The inflow of foreign investment has rocketed in 1992 to US$14.6

billion in the period January-June, an increase of some 220%.

13. Despite its strong performance, certain aspects of the

economy continue to give cause for concern. The budget deficit

rose 33% in 1991 to US$3.7 billion, 52% higher than the

government forecast - although a substantial proportion of this

chinapol278

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