TNAG-2493-FCO40-3625-Future-of-Hong-Kong-constitutional-development-Chinese-reac-1992 — Page 93

GF 303

VITIOCINA TAL

21

TAX

(b) The United Front might quit

Hong rong

political system and seek to discredit HKG and

policies and

elections.

disrupt the

1995

Outcome:

serious polarisation

society

but

not an intolerable situation

as the

United

Front

would

be

reverting to

tradition).

remain uncowed.

The

commun

would probably

(c) Senior HKC officials

(a)

Service

and directorate

careers after 1997 were

....

...

the

1)

10

,,

itive

D}

ค

As

..

41.4

would feel that

in jeopardy,

Intimidertien

X Candidates

im

957

Outcome: acute morale problems

cause the

civil

service is the

group

most directly

Resignate y emigratie? Effect

(1.e., personally) affected

sovereignty, even under ideal conditions.

by

the change in

Д

ровее?

Interruption of the airport

project

would

cause alarm and confusion.

Outcome: 3 welcome

by

what they regard as

non-essential project.

some for the end to

an expensive and

Others would regard

the

situation

as

an

alarming blow

to

confidence.

CONFIDENTIAL

機密