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177 171
MDLIAN 21
OVERRIDE.
THERE ARE MIXED VIEWS ABOUT THE PROSPECTS. ON THE ONE THE ADMINISTRATION BELIEVE THEY HAVE MADE PROGRESS WITH THE CHINESE OVER TRADE AND NON-PROLIFERATION. THIS SHOULD IMPROVE CHINA'S IMAGE IN CONGRESS. THEY ALSO HOPE THAT KANTER'S CURRENT VISIT TO PEKING WILL PRODUCE A MEMORANDUM OF UNDERSTANDING ON PRISON LABOUR, AND POSSIBLY, THE RELEASE OF A FEW MORE DETAINEES.
6.
·
BUT SUSPICIONS ABOUT CHINA'S NON-PROLIFERATION ACTIVITIES REMAIN, AND THE CHINESE HAVE REFUSED TO BUDGE ON MANY HUMAN RIGHTS ISSUES. MOREOVER, THE ADMINISTRATION'S SUPPORT OVER CHINAIN THE SENATE HAS STEADILY DWINDLED. THE RECENT CHINESE DECISION NOT TO GRANT SENATORS PELL AND BOREN A VISA TO VISIT CHINA WILL NOT HELP. IN AN ELECTION YEAR, FEW SENATORS WILL FEEL THAT THERE ARE VOTES TO BE WON IN STANDING UP FOR CHINA.
7.
THE HONG KONG IMPLICATIONS ARE WELL UNDERSTOOD. SOLOMON MENTIONED THEM AGAIN IN TESTIMONY ON 7 MAY COUR TELNO 1017). THE
HONG KONG ECONOMIC AND TRADE OFFICE HAS BEGUN LOBBYING. THE HONG KONG BUSINESS MISSION HAS JUST COMPLETED ITS VISIT: THE HONG KONG SECRETARY FOR TRADE IS DUE NEXT WEEK, AND THE AMERICAN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE ARRIVES ON 18 MAY.
8. AS THE DEBATE UNFOLDS WE WILL REVIEW IN CONSULTATION WITH THE ADMINISTRATION, AND THE HKETO - HOW BEST TO TARGET OUR OWN LOBBYING. THIS IS LIKELY TO BE MOST EFFECTIVE IF AS LAST YEAR
WE CAN FOCUS ON KEY SENATORS IN THE RUN UP TO CRUCIAL VOTES.
RENWICK
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YYYY
MAIN
126
NAD
FED
PUSD
INFO D
ECD (E)
LEGAL ADVISERS
ECONOMIC ADVISERS
CFSP UNIT
DISTRIBUTION
136
PAGE
RAD
UND
PS
PS/BARONESS CHALKER
PS/MR GOODLAD
PS/PUS
MR LANKESTER
MR APPLEYARD
2
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