TNAG-2467-FCO40-3591-Economic-situation-in-Hong-Kong-1992 — Page 57

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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Patten settles easily into the governorship and the pace of C hëse reform continues to accelerate, then the Hong Kong financial sector should continue to thrive but more as a service provider to China than as the major regional financial centre after Tokyo, a role

which Singapore is more likely to assume. The attached 'balance sheet' seeks to draw the analysis together, illustrating the strengths and weaknesses of Hong Kong relative to Singapore both in the various markets analysed and factors of supply.

The Strengths And Weaknesses Of Hong Kong As A Regional Financial Centre Relative To Singapore

[+ implies a relative strength of Hong Kong]

Markets

Banking

Equities

Bonds

Foreign Exch'ge

Derivatives

Fund Management

Gold

Overall view of Markets

Supply Factors

Politics

Relative Costs

Skilled Labour

Technology

Regulation

Taxation

Critical Mass

Overall view of

Supply Factors

+

'Mark'

Comment

but possibly narrower than Singapore

more international issues offset by corporate migration

Hong Kong government bond market slowly developing

Hong Kong less developed

0

+

Possible flight from Hong Kong

Converging

Converged in approach but not in style

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