TNAG-2454-FCO40-3572-Hong-Kong-opinion-polls-1992 — Page 15

FCO40 Hong Kong Department Records 聯邦事務部香港部檔案 All

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142711

MDHIAN 1281

POLLING ORGANISATION HAS MADE THE POINT THAT AN AVERAGE RATING OF CLOSE TO 60 MARKS IS IMPRESSIVE IN THE CIRCUMSTANCES, PARTICULARLY AS OVER 80 PERCENT OF RESPONDENTS GAVE THE GOVERNOR 50 OR MORE MARKS.

4.

HOWEVER, THIS RESULT SHOULD BE SEEN IN CONTEXT. QUESTION ONE (OR A SLIGHT VARIATION OF IT) WAS ASKED IN JULY, OCTOBER AND EARLY NOVEMBER. THE RESULTS WERE:

JULY

OCTOBER

NOVEMBER

69 PERCENT

63 PERCENT

60 PERCENT

THERE HAS THUS BEEN A TEN PERCENTAGE POINT DECLINE IN THE GOVERNOR'S PERFORMANCE RATING SINCE JULY AND A FOUR PERCENTAGE POINT DECLINE SINCE HIS VISIT TO PEKING IN OCTOBER. BUT PERHAPS THE MOST INTERESTING RESULT IS THAT THERE HAS BEEN ONLY A ONE PERCENTAGE POINT FALL IN SUPPORT SINCE EARLY NOVEMBER I.E. SINCE THE PRC'S CAMPAIGN MOVED INTO TOP GEAR.

5.

THE RESPONSES TO QUESTION FOUR SHOULD BE NOTED. IN OCTOBER, 36 PERCENT OF RESPONDENTS SAID THEY THOUGHT THE ECONOMY OUTLOOK WOULD GET WORSE, BUT THE RESULT IN THE LATEST POLL IS THAT 54 PERCENT HOLD THIS VIEW. GIVEN THAT THE PRC HAS DELIBERATELY TARGETED ECONOMIC ISSUES IN ITS CAMPAIGN, THIS IS NOT A SURPRISING RESULT.

PATTEN

YYYY

ΜΑΙΝ

.HK POLICY

HKD

PUSD

63

DISTRIBUTION

72

PLANNERS

RAD

PS

FED

LEGAL ADVISERS//MS BARRETT

.AND MS BROOKS

NEWS D

PS/MR GOODLAD

SIR J COLES

MR APPLEYARD MR HUM

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